Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16
FC Volendam vs Jong Ajax
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Kras Stadion, Volendam
FC Volendam host Jong Ajax on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Volendam 47%, draw 27%, Jong Ajax 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Volendam €579K, Jong Ajax €456K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Volendam goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: FC Volendam 1701 · Jong Ajax 1621
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Volendam · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1708
Jong Ajax · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1688
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Volendam
7th in Eerste Divisie · 19 pts from 13
- 30 OctLDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1701
- 27 OctLFC Eindhoven Netherlands KNVB Beker1620
- 23 OctWJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1689
- 18 OctDWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1689
- 9 OctWVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1658
Jong Ajax
16th in Eerste Divisie · 13 pts from 13
- 2 NovDVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1677
- 23 OctDFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1596
- 19 OctWDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1588
- 9 OctLVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1607
- 18 SepDRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1601
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam | 19 /13 | 57.6 | 2% | 21% | <1% | 7th |
| Jong Ajax | 13 /13 | 46.9 | 0% | 1% | 14% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Volendam: balanced profile (how E. van de Looi plays) · Jong Ajax: dribble-heavy (how Carlos García plays)