Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 13
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Kras Stadion, Volendam
FC Volendam host De Graafschap on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Volendam 45%, draw 28%, De Graafschap 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Volendam €469K, De Graafschap €518K.
- Eerste Divisie: M. Diemers is the highest-rated midfielder (1867).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Volendam goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: FC Volendam 1673 · De Graafschap 1624
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Volendam · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1703
De Graafschap · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1752
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Volendam
8th in Eerste Divisie · 16 pts from 11
- 18 OctDWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1687
- 9 OctWVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1655
- 3 OctLAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1667
- 26 SepWVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1642
- 18 SepLJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1652
De Graafschap
15th in Eerste Divisie · 11 pts from 10
- 9 OctWJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1656
- 3 OctDFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1665
- 27 SepWDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1587
- 20 SepLNAC Breda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1605
- 11 SepWEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1594
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam | 16 /11 | 57.1 | 2% | 24% | 1% | 6th |
| De Graafschap | 11 /10 | 50.4 | <1% | 5% | 8% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Volendam: balanced profile (how Erwin van de Looi plays) · De Graafschap: shot-heavy (how Thomas Duivenvoorden plays)