Premier League · Regular Season - 26
FC Vitebsk vs ML Vitebsk
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Centralnyj Stadion, Vitebsk
FC Vitebsk host ML Vitebsk on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Vitebsk 22%, draw 26%, ML Vitebsk 51%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Vitebsk €169K, ML Vitebsk €526K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier League matchday 26: 270 points.
- Premier League: P. Pavlyuchenko is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1763).
- ML Vitebsk are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Vitebsk goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FC Vitebsk 1380 · ML Vitebsk 1650
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
ML Vitebsk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1826
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Vitebsk
6th in Premier League · 40 pts from 25
- 17 OctWBaranovichi Belarus Premier League1375
- 11 OctDFC Isloch Minsk R. Belarus Premier League1384
- 20 SepWTorpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League1327
- 12 SepDBelshina Belarus Premier League1329
- 4 SepLSlavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League1368
ML Vitebsk
1st in Premier League · 53 pts from 24
- 18 OctWNeman Belarus Premier League1651
- 15 OctWTorpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League1667
- 11 OctWFC Gomel Belarus Premier League1628
- 18 SepWArsenal Belarus Premier League1610
- 13 SepDFC Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League1555
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Vitebsk | 40 /25 | 46.1 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 7th |
| ML Vitebsk | 53 /24 | 63.3 | 83% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –