3. Liga · Regular Season - 11
FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Sportpark Hohenberg, Cologne
FC Viktoria Köln host Verl on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Viktoria Köln 46%, draw 28%, Verl 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Viktoria Köln €373K, Verl €326K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (3. Liga): FC Viktoria Köln rank #3 of 20, Verl #17.
- FC Viktoria Köln are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Viktoria Köln goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: FC Viktoria Köln 1601 · Verl 1568
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Verl · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1717
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Viktoria Köln
2nd in 3. Liga · 20 pts from 10
- 18 OctDMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1662
- 11 OctWAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1644
- 19 SepWFC Ingolstadt 04 Germany 3 Liga1625
- 15 SepWSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1598
- 11 SepWHansa Rostock Germany 3 Liga1589
Verl
14th in 3. Liga · 12 pts from 10
- 18 OctLHoffenheim II Germany 3 Liga1557
- 14 OctDSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1594
- 11 OctDFortuna Düsseldorf Germany 3 Liga1596
- 18 SepWWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1485
- 15 SepDSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3 Liga1527
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Viktoria Köln | 20 /10 | 60.7 | 7% | 41% | <1% | 3rd |
| Verl | 12 /10 | 50.0 | <1% | 4% | 3% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Viktoria Köln: balanced profile (how Marian Wilhelm plays) · Verl: possession-based (how Orest Shala plays)