3. Liga · Regular Season - 13
FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Saarbrücken
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Sportpark Hohenberg, Cologne
FC Viktoria Köln host FC Saarbrücken on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Viktoria Köln 38%, draw 29%, FC Saarbrücken 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Viktoria Köln €408K, FC Saarbrücken €433K.
- Home advantage makes FC Viktoria Köln the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- 3. Liga: A. Staff is the highest-rated forward (1815).
- FC Viktoria Köln are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Viktoria Köln goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FC Viktoria Köln 1600 · FC Saarbrücken 1673
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Saarbrücken · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1612
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Viktoria Köln
2nd in 3. Liga · 20 pts from 10
- 18 OctDMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1662
- 11 OctWAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1644
- 19 SepWFC Ingolstadt 04 Germany 3 Liga1625
- 15 SepWSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1598
- 11 SepWHansa Rostock Germany 3 Liga1589
FC Saarbrücken
4th in 3. Liga · 17 pts from 10
- 17 OctWFortuna Düsseldorf Germany 3 Liga1656
- 13 OctLMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1658
- 10 OctDFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1645
- 19 SepWSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3 Liga1688
- 16 SepDPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1658
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Viktoria Köln | 20 /10 | 60.7 | 6% | 41% | 0% | 3rd |
| FC Saarbrücken | 17 /10 | 62.7 | 12% | 52% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Viktoria Köln: balanced profile (how Marian Wilhelm plays) · FC Saarbrücken: balanced profile (how Argirios Giannikis plays)