Premier League · Regular Season - 10
FC Urartu 5–2 Van
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Urartu Stadium, Yerevan
FC UrartuTeam 1488VanTeam 1193- M. Rajani 24'
- K. Sammani 17'
We gave FC Urartu 66% to win: they did.
- 17'K. Sammani –Van:K. Sammani –
- M. Rajani –24'FC Urartu:M. Rajani –
- 32'Van:
- 48'Van:
- 54'FC Urartu:
- 56'Van:
- 61'FC Urartu:
- 64'FC Urartu:
- 80'Van:
- 87'FC Urartu:
- 90'FC Urartu:
- 90+3'FC Urartu:
Before kick-off (provisional): 66% · 21% · 14%(FC Urartu · draw · Van)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 5–2 had 1%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Urartu €270K, Van €94K.
- Draw chance was 21%, below the Premier League average of 27% this round.
- Z. Margaryan, Bruno Michel, N. Aghasaryan, M. Velosa, A. Bratkov, A. Ghazaryan, Y. Tsymbalyuk, Alef and S. Mkrtchyan (FC Urartu) had not played for over 90 days.
- B. Hovhannisyan, S. Sidamonidze, H. Mkoyan, Maurinho, H. Tatosyan, A. Markovych and A. Gomes (Van) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Urartu
6th in Premier League · 12 pts from 9
- 3 MayLArarat-Armenia Armenia Premier League1497
- 5 AprWGandzasar Armenia Premier League1489
- 20 MarWBKMA Armenia Premier League1473
- 15 MarWBKMA Armenia Premier League1500
- 6 MarDGandzasar Armenia Premier League1474
Van
10th in Premier League · 7 pts from 9
- 29 AugLShirak Armenia Premier League1156
- 2 MayWGandzasar Armenia Premier League1236
- 20 MarDArarat-Armenia Armenia Premier League1244
- 16 MarLArarat-Armenia Armenia Premier League1245
- 7 MarLArarat Armenia Premier League1212
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Urartu | 12 /9 | 44.3 | <1% | 38% | 1% | 5th |
| Van | 7 /9 | 26.5 | 0% | <1% | 70% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Urartu · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1731
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –