Premier League · Regular Season - 13
FC Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Urartu Stadium, Yerevan
FC Urartu host Ararat-Armenia on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Urartu 35%, draw 29%, Ararat-Armenia 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Urartu €269K, Ararat-Armenia €289K.
- Z. Margaryan, Bruno Michel, N. Aghasaryan, M. Velosa, A. Bratkov, A. Ghazaryan, Y. Tsymbalyuk, Alef and S. Mkrtchyan (FC Urartu) have not played for over 90 days.
- Bruno Pinto and K. Hovhannisyan (Ararat-Armenia) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Urartu goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–09%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: FC Urartu 1488 · Ararat-Armenia 1563
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; FC Urartu from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026); Ararat-Armenia from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Urartu · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1731
Ararat-Armenia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1716
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Urartu
5th in Premier League · 16 pts from 11
- 3 MayLArarat-Armenia Armenia Premier League1497
- 5 AprWGandzasar Armenia Premier League1489
- 20 MarWBKMA Armenia Premier League1473
- 15 MarWBKMA Armenia Premier League1500
- 6 MarDGandzasar Armenia Premier League1474
Ararat-Armenia
3rd in Premier League · 23 pts from 10
- 22 OctLAZ Alkmaar UEFA Europa League1613
- 15 OctLJagiellonia UEFA Europa League1597
- 16 SepLSparta Praha UEFA Europa League1599
- 27 AugWUniversitatea Craiova UEFA Europa League1569
- 20 AugDUniversitatea Craiova UEFA Europa League1557
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Urartu | 16 /11 | 46.1 | <1% | 46% | <1% | 5th |
| Ararat-Armenia | 23 /10 | 57.5 | 15% | 97% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –