Premier League · Regular Season - 9
FC Urartu 2–2 Ararat
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Urartu Stadium, Yerevan
FC UrartuTeam 1488AraratTeam 1151- K. Ishibashi 35'
- G. Lulukyan 79'
- A. Aslanyan 12'
- S. J. Bakayoko 88'
We gave FC Urartu 69% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 12'A. Aslanyan –Ararat:A. Aslanyan –
- 20'V. Samsonyan –Ararat:V. Samsonyan –
- K. Ishibashi –35'FC Urartu:K. Ishibashi –
- E. Piloyan – for K. Melkonyan –46'FC Urartu:E. Piloyan – for K. Melkonyan –
- M. Mirzoyan – for L. Bashoyan –62'FC Urartu:M. Mirzoyan – for L. Bashoyan –
- N. Aghasaryan – for Alef Santos –62'FC Urartu:N. Aghasaryan – for Alef Santos –
- 65'S. J. Bakayoko – for P. Aleqyan –Ararat:S. J. Bakayoko – for P. Aleqyan –
- K. Ayvazyan – for Y. Tsymbalyuk –73'FC Urartu:K. Ayvazyan – for Y. Tsymbalyuk –
- 74'M. Fofana – for A. Grigoryan –Ararat:M. Fofana – for A. Grigoryan –
- 74'N. Alaverdyan – for E. Movsesyan –Ararat:N. Alaverdyan – for E. Movsesyan –
- G. Lulukyan –79'FC Urartu:G. Lulukyan –
- 82'A. Ouattara – for P. Handzongo –Ararat:A. Ouattara – for P. Handzongo –
- 88'S. J. Bakayoko –Ararat:S. J. Bakayoko –
Before kick-off (provisional): 69% · 19% · 12%(FC Urartu · draw · Ararat)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 2–2 had 4%.
- Draw chance was 19%, below the Premier League average of 25% this round.
- Z. Margaryan, Bruno Michel, N. Aghasaryan, M. Velosa, A. Bratkov, A. Ghazaryan, Y. Tsymbalyuk, Alef and S. Mkrtchyan (FC Urartu) had not played for over 90 days.
- A. Anzimati-Aboudou, M. Fofana, A. Grigoryan, Malick Berte and G. Lulukyan (Ararat) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Urartu
6th in Premier League · 11 pts from 8
- 3 MayLArarat-Armenia Armenia Premier League1497
- 5 AprWGandzasar Armenia Premier League1489
- 20 MarWBKMA Armenia Premier League1473
- 15 MarWBKMA Armenia Premier League1500
- 6 MarDGandzasar Armenia Premier League1474
Ararat
8th in Premier League · 9 pts from 8
- 19 MayLFC Noah Armenia Premier League1110
- 14 MarLGandzasar Armenia Premier League1160
- 7 MarWVan Armenia Premier League1147
- 30 NovLPyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League1143
- 21 NovLArarat-Armenia Armenia Premier League1131
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Urartu | 11 /8 | 45.3 | 1% | 56% | <1% | 4th |
| Ararat | 9 /8 | 27.4 | 0% | <1% | 64% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Urartu · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1731
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –