First League · Regular Season - 15
FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · BetBoom Arena, Ufa
FC UFA host Nizhny Novgorod on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC UFA 35%, draw 29%, Nizhny Novgorod 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC UFA €284K, Nizhny Novgorod €571K.
- First League: N. Medvedev is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1742).
- Nizhny Novgorod are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC UFA goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–09%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: FC UFA 1521 · Nizhny Novgorod 1633
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nizhny Novgorod · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1596
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC UFA
7th in First League · 21 pts from 14
- 17 OctWArsenal Tula Russia First League1503
- 11 OctLFC Sochi Russia First League1524
- 27 SepDTorpedo Moskva Russia First League1528
- 18 SepLChelyabinsk Russia First League1512
- 13 SepDVolga Ulyanovsk Russia First League1534
Nizhny Novgorod
1st in First League · 37 pts from 14
- 18 OctWUral Russia First League1619
- 10 OctWEnisey Russia First League1600
- 17 SepWLeningradets Russia First League1599
- 13 SepWTorpedo Moskva Russia First League1581
- 30 AugDVolga Ulyanovsk Russia First League1600
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC UFA | 21 /14 | 49.0 | <1% | 8% | <1% | 7th |
| Nizhny Novgorod | 37 /14 | 71.2 | 74% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –