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First League · Regular Season - 14

FC UFA 2–0 Arsenal Tula

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Neftyanik Stadium, Ufa

FC UFA crestFC UFATeam 1475
2–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Arsenal Tula crestArsenal TulaTeam 1398

Match story

FC UFA · draw · Arsenal Tula

Before kick-off: 50% · 27% · 22%

Live chances: FC UFA 100%, draw 0%, Arsenal Tula 0% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · FC UFA 50%, draw 27%, Arsenal Tula 22%3' · 0–0 · FC UFA 50%, draw 28%, Arsenal Tula 22%4' · 0–0 · FC UFA 50%, draw 28%, Arsenal Tula 22%5' · 0–0 · FC UFA 50%, draw 28%, Arsenal Tula 23%6' · 0–0 · FC UFA 50%, draw 28%, Arsenal Tula 23%7' · 0–0 · FC UFA 49%, draw 28%, Arsenal Tula 23%8' · 0–0 · FC UFA 49%, draw 28%, Arsenal Tula 23%9' · 0–0 · FC UFA 49%, draw 28%, Arsenal Tula 23%11' · 0–0 · FC UFA 49%, draw 29%, Arsenal Tula 23%12' · 0–0 · FC UFA 49%, draw 29%, Arsenal Tula 23%13' · 0–0 · FC UFA 48%, draw 29%, Arsenal Tula 23%14' · 0–0 · FC UFA 48%, draw 29%, Arsenal Tula 23%15' · 0–0 · FC UFA 48%, draw 29%, Arsenal Tula 23%16' · 1–0 · FC UFA 74%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 8%17' · 1–0 · FC UFA 74%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 8%18' · 1–0 · FC UFA 74%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 8%19' · 1–0 · FC UFA 74%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 8%20' · 1–0 · FC UFA 74%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 8%21' · 1–0 · FC UFA 74%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 8%22' · 1–0 · FC UFA 74%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 8%23' · 1–0 · FC UFA 74%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 8%24' · 1–0 · FC UFA 74%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 8%25' · 1–0 · FC UFA 74%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 8%26' · 1–0 · FC UFA 74%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 7%28' · 1–0 · FC UFA 74%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 7%29' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 7%30' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 7%31' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 7%32' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 7%33' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 7%34' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 7%35' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 7%36' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 7%37' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 7%38' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 7%39' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 7%40' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 7%41' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 6%42' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 6%43' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 6%44' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 6%45' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 6%45+1' · 1–0 · FC UFA 75%, draw 19%, Arsenal Tula 6%45+2' · 1–0 · FC UFA 76%, draw 19%, Arsenal Tula 6%45+3' · 1–0 · FC UFA 76%, draw 19%, Arsenal Tula 6%45+4' · 1–0 · FC UFA 76%, draw 19%, Arsenal Tula 6%HT · 1–0 · FC UFA 76%, draw 19%, Arsenal Tula 6%47' · 1–0 · FC UFA 76%, draw 19%, Arsenal Tula 6%48' · 1–0 · FC UFA 76%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 6%49' · 1–0 · FC UFA 76%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 6%50' · 1–0 · FC UFA 76%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 5%51' · 1–0 · FC UFA 76%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 5%52' · 1–0 · FC UFA 76%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 5%53' · 1–0 · FC UFA 77%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 5%54' · 1–0 · FC UFA 77%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 5%55' · 1–0 · FC UFA 77%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 5%56' · 1–0 · FC UFA 77%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 5%57' · 1–0 · FC UFA 77%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 5%58' · 1–0 · FC UFA 78%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 4%59' · 1–0 · FC UFA 78%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 4%60' · 2–0 · FC UFA 96%, draw 3%, Arsenal Tula 0%61' · 2–0 · FC UFA 96%, draw 3%, Arsenal Tula 0%62' · 2–0 · FC UFA 96%, draw 3%, Arsenal Tula 0%63' · 2–0 · FC UFA 97%, draw 3%, Arsenal Tula 0%64' · 2–0 · FC UFA 97%, draw 3%, Arsenal Tula 0%65' · 2–0 · FC UFA 97%, draw 3%, Arsenal Tula 0%66' · 2–0 · FC UFA 97%, draw 3%, Arsenal Tula 0%67' · 2–0 · FC UFA 97%, draw 3%, Arsenal Tula 0%68' · 2–0 · FC UFA 97%, draw 3%, Arsenal Tula 0%69' · 2–0 · FC UFA 97%, draw 2%, Arsenal Tula 0%70' · 2–0 · FC UFA 97%, draw 2%, Arsenal Tula 0%71' · 2–0 · FC UFA 98%, draw 2%, Arsenal Tula 0%72' · 2–0 · FC UFA 98%, draw 2%, Arsenal Tula 0%74' · 2–0 · FC UFA 98%, draw 2%, Arsenal Tula 0%75' · 2–0 · FC UFA 98%, draw 2%, Arsenal Tula 0%76' · 2–0 · FC UFA 98%, draw 2%, Arsenal Tula 0%77' · 2–0 · FC UFA 98%, draw 2%, Arsenal Tula 0%78' · 2–0 · FC UFA 98%, draw 1%, Arsenal Tula 0%80' · 2–0 · FC UFA 99%, draw 1%, Arsenal Tula 0%81' · 2–0 · FC UFA 99%, draw 1%, Arsenal Tula 0%82' · 2–0 · FC UFA 99%, draw 1%, Arsenal Tula 0%83' · 2–0 · FC UFA 99%, draw 1%, Arsenal Tula 0%85' · 2–0 · FC UFA 99%, draw 1%, Arsenal Tula 0%86' · 2–0 · FC UFA 99%, draw 1%, Arsenal Tula 0%87' · 2–0 · FC UFA 99%, draw 1%, Arsenal Tula 0%88' · 2–0 · FC UFA 100%, draw 0%, Arsenal Tula 0%89' · 2–0 · FC UFA 100%, draw 0%, Arsenal Tula 0%90' · 2–0 · FC UFA 100%, draw 0%, Arsenal Tula 0%90+1' · 2–0 · FC UFA 100%, draw 0%, Arsenal Tula 0%90+2' · 2–0 · FC UFA 100%, draw 0%, Arsenal Tula 0%90+3' · 2–0 · FC UFA 100%, draw 0%, Arsenal Tula 0%90+4' · 2–0 · FC UFA 100%, draw 0%, Arsenal Tula 0%90+5' · 2–0 · FC UFA 100%, draw 0%, Arsenal Tula 0%90+6' · 2–0 · FC UFA 100%, draw 0%, Arsenal Tula 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave FC UFA 50% to win: they did.

  1. 15'FC UFA:Dilan Ortíz 1613 +4* (pen.)
  2. 27'Arsenal Tula:Milos Brnovic 1457 −7
  3. 50'FC UFA:Andrey Evdokimov 1404 +20*
  4. 52'Arsenal Tula:Daniil Penchikov 1485 −10
  5. 52'FC UFA:Dilan Ortíz 1613 +4* (penalty missed)
  6. 58'FC UFA:Danil Lipovoy 1553 +16
  7. 59'Arsenal Tula:David Davidyan 1515 for Georgiy Uridia 1289 0
  8. 60'Arsenal Tula:Aleksandr Alekhin 1370 for Ivan Enin 1440 −10
  9. 60'Arsenal Tula:Igor Gorbunov 1465 for Daniil Shamkin 1477 −8
  10. 65'Arsenal Tula:Artem Biryukov 1306 0
  11. 68'Arsenal Tula:Ilya Zhigulev 1377 for Timur Melekestsev 1177 0
  12. 71'Arsenal Tula:David Davidyan 1515
  13. 73'FC UFA:Zalimkhan Yusupov 1546 for Shamil Isaev 1576 +15
  14. 73'FC UFA:Danil Akhatov 1451 for Migran Ageyan 1481 +23
  15. 79'FC UFA:Georgiy Gongadze 1455 for Dilan Ortíz 1613 +4*
  16. 86'Arsenal Tula:Nikita Glushkov 1552 for Artem Biryukov 1306 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-2-3Formations3-5-2
GA. Belenov1425+18
DV. Cherov1565+13
DD. Kutin1515+15
DA. Evdokimov1404+20*
DA. Gilyazetdinov1433+23
MZ. Tarba1524+19
MD. Lipovoy1553+16
MS. Isaev1576+15
FM. Ageyan1481+23
FD. Ortíz1613+4*
MM. Yakuev1570+15
COmari Tetradze1632+10
GA. Melikhov1503−10
DD. Penchikov1485−10
DK. Gotsuk1503−16
MI. Enin1440−10
MD. Plotnikov13140
MA. Biryukov13060
FD. Shamkin1477−8
MM. Brnović1457−7
FG. Uridia12890
FT. Melekestsev11770
FR. Magomedov1417−5
CD. Alenichev13640
Before kick-off: 50% · 27% · 22%(FC UFA · draw · Arsenal Tula)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–0 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: FC UFA €278K, Arsenal Tula €234K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

FC UFA

9th in First League · 18 pts from 13

  • 11 OctLFC Sochi 1524
  • 27 SepDTorpedo Moskva 1528
  • 18 SepLChelyabinsk 1512
  • 13 SepDVolga Ulyanovsk 1534
  • 5 SepDVeles 1555

Arsenal Tula

10th in First League · 16 pts from 13

  • 9 OctWSpartak Kostroma 1386
  • 16 SepLEnisey 1448
  • 13 SepDSka-khabarovsk 1426
  • 5 SepLVolga Ulyanovsk 1443
  • 29 AugDUral 1440

Season outlook

From the First League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
FC UFA18 /1347.5<1%6%1%8th
Arsenal Tula16 /1342.50%1%7%11th
FC UFA
Arsenal Tula

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: First League

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Omari Tetradze

Coach DNA: –

Dmitri Alenichev

Coach DNA: low-volume

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.