Super League · Regular Season - 13
FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Stockhorn Arena, Thun
FC Thun host FC Basel 1893 on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Thun 29%, draw 29%, FC Basel 1893 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Thun €906K, FC Basel 1893 €2.0M.
- Style contrast in possession (Super League): FC Thun rank #11 of 12, FC Basel 1893 #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Thun goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FC Thun 1656 · FC Basel 1893 1828
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Thun · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1782
FC Basel 1893 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1892
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Thun
9th in Super League · 10 pts from 10
- 22 OctLHNK Hajduk Split UEFA Conference League1741
- 15 OctLTwente UEFA Conference League1725
- 10 OctLFC Zurich Swiss Super League1638
- 20 SepWFC Vaduz Swiss Super League1664
- 16 SepLServette FC Swiss Super League1664
FC Basel 1893
7th in Super League · 13 pts from 10
- 11 OctLFC Vaduz Swiss Super League1840
- 20 SepLFC ST. Gallen Swiss Super League1830
- 13 SepWFC Luzern Swiss Super League1806
- 6 SepLFC Lugano Swiss Super League1814
- 3 SepLFC Sion Swiss Super League1830
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Thun | 10 /10 | 23.5 | 0% | 1% | 42% | 9th |
| FC Basel 1893 | 13 /10 | 31.9 | 0% | 30% | 2% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Thun: direct (how Luca Privitelli Gian plays) · FC Basel 1893: possession-based (how Slaviša Jokanović plays)