First League · Regular Season - 19
FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
Fri 13 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
FC Sochi host Shinnik Yaroslavl on Fri 13 Nov 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Sochi 60%, draw 23%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Sochi €610K, Shinnik Yaroslavl €255K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of First League matchday 19: 193 points.
- First League: N. Stojić is the highest-rated defender (1841).
- FC Sochi are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Sochi goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: FC Sochi 1669 · Shinnik Yaroslavl 1476
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Sochi
2nd in First League · 32 pts from 15
- 24 OctWTekstilshchik Russia First League1670
- 16 OctWRotor Volgograd Russia First League1649
- 11 OctWFC UFA Russia First League1635
- 18 SepDSka-khabarovsk Russia First League1633
- 14 SepWVeles Russia First League1664
Shinnik Yaroslavl
7th in First League · 23 pts from 15
- 26 OctWSpartak Kostroma Russia First League1435
- 18 OctDVeles Russia First League1422
- 10 OctWTekstilshchik Russia First League1455
- 27 SepDSka-khabarovsk Russia First League1431
- 18 SepLKAMAZ Russia First League1445
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sochi | 32 /15 | 65.7 | 15% | 95% | 0% | 2nd |
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 23 /15 | 48.1 | 0% | 6% | <1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –