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First League · Regular Season - 13

FC Sochi 1–0 FC UFA

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi

FC Sochi crestFC SochiTeam 1607
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
FC UFA crestFC UFATeam 1520

Match story

FC Sochi · draw · FC UFA

Before kick-off: 51% · 27% · 22%

Live chances: FC Sochi 100%, draw 0%, FC UFA 0% at 90+8'2' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 51%, draw 27%, FC UFA 22%3' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 51%, draw 28%, FC UFA 22%4' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 50%, draw 28%, FC UFA 22%5' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 50%, draw 28%, FC UFA 22%6' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 50%, draw 28%, FC UFA 22%7' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 50%, draw 28%, FC UFA 22%8' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 50%, draw 28%, FC UFA 22%9' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 50%, draw 28%, FC UFA 22%10' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 49%, draw 29%, FC UFA 22%11' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 49%, draw 29%, FC UFA 22%12' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 49%, draw 29%, FC UFA 22%13' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 49%, draw 29%, FC UFA 22%14' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 49%, draw 29%, FC UFA 22%15' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 48%, draw 30%, FC UFA 22%16' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 48%, draw 30%, FC UFA 22%17' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 48%, draw 30%, FC UFA 22%18' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 48%, draw 30%, FC UFA 22%19' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 48%, draw 30%, FC UFA 22%20' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 47%, draw 31%, FC UFA 22%21' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 47%, draw 31%, FC UFA 22%22' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 47%, draw 31%, FC UFA 22%23' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 47%, draw 31%, FC UFA 22%24' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 47%, draw 31%, FC UFA 22%25' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 46%, draw 32%, FC UFA 22%26' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 46%, draw 32%, FC UFA 22%28' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 46%, draw 32%, FC UFA 22%29' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 45%, draw 33%, FC UFA 22%31' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 45%, draw 33%, FC UFA 22%32' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 45%, draw 33%, FC UFA 22%33' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 44%, draw 34%, FC UFA 22%34' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 44%, draw 34%, FC UFA 22%35' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 44%, draw 34%, FC UFA 22%36' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 44%, draw 35%, FC UFA 22%37' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 43%, draw 35%, FC UFA 22%38' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 43%, draw 35%, FC UFA 22%39' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 43%, draw 36%, FC UFA 22%40' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 42%, draw 36%, FC UFA 22%41' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 42%, draw 36%, FC UFA 22%42' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 42%, draw 37%, FC UFA 22%43' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 42%, draw 37%, FC UFA 21%44' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 41%, draw 37%, FC UFA 21%45' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 41%, draw 38%, FC UFA 21%45+1' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 41%, draw 38%, FC UFA 21%45+2' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 40%, draw 39%, FC UFA 21%45+3' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 40%, draw 39%, FC UFA 21%HT · 0–0 · FC Sochi 40%, draw 39%, FC UFA 21%46' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 40%, draw 39%, FC UFA 21%47' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 39%, draw 40%, FC UFA 21%49' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 39%, draw 41%, FC UFA 21%50' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 38%, draw 41%, FC UFA 21%51' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 38%, draw 42%, FC UFA 21%52' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 37%, draw 42%, FC UFA 20%53' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 37%, draw 43%, FC UFA 20%54' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 36%, draw 44%, FC UFA 20%55' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 36%, draw 44%, FC UFA 20%56' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 35%, draw 45%, FC UFA 20%57' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 35%, draw 46%, FC UFA 20%58' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 34%, draw 46%, FC UFA 19%59' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 34%, draw 47%, FC UFA 19%60' · 0–0 · FC Sochi 33%, draw 48%, FC UFA 19%60' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 80%, draw 16%, FC UFA 3%61' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 80%, draw 16%, FC UFA 3%62' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 81%, draw 16%, FC UFA 3%64' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 81%, draw 16%, FC UFA 3%65' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 81%, draw 16%, FC UFA 3%66' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 82%, draw 16%, FC UFA 3%67' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 82%, draw 15%, FC UFA 3%68' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 82%, draw 15%, FC UFA 2%69' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 83%, draw 15%, FC UFA 2%70' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 83%, draw 15%, FC UFA 2%71' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 83%, draw 15%, FC UFA 2%72' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 84%, draw 14%, FC UFA 2%73' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 84%, draw 14%, FC UFA 2%74' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 84%, draw 14%, FC UFA 2%75' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 85%, draw 14%, FC UFA 2%76' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 85%, draw 13%, FC UFA 2%77' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 85%, draw 13%, FC UFA 1%78' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 86%, draw 13%, FC UFA 1%79' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 86%, draw 12%, FC UFA 1%80' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 87%, draw 12%, FC UFA 1%81' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 87%, draw 12%, FC UFA 1%82' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 88%, draw 11%, FC UFA 1%83' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 89%, draw 11%, FC UFA 1%85' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 90%, draw 10%, FC UFA 1%86' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 90%, draw 9%, FC UFA 1%87' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 91%, draw 9%, FC UFA 0%88' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 92%, draw 8%, FC UFA 0%89' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 92%, draw 7%, FC UFA 0%90' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 93%, draw 6%, FC UFA 0%90+1' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 94%, draw 6%, FC UFA 0%90+2' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 95%, draw 5%, FC UFA 0%90+3' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 96%, draw 4%, FC UFA 0%90+4' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 97%, draw 3%, FC UFA 0%90+5' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 98%, draw 2%, FC UFA 0%90+7' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 100%, draw 0%, FC UFA 0%90+8' · 1–0 · FC Sochi 100%, draw 0%, FC UFA 0%

Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave FC Sochi 51% to win: they did.

  1. 5'FC Sochi:Aleksandr Metsiev 1449 +22*
  2. 19'FC Sochi:Ruslan Magal 1596 +6*
  3. 47'FC Sochi:Maksim Kuzmin 1639 +8*
  4. 48'FC UFA:Ilya Agapov 1694 −16*
  5. 59'FC Sochi:Zakhar Fedorov 1466 +21* (pen.)
  6. 64'FC Sochi:Aleksandr Osipov 1702 for Maksim Kuzmin 1639 +8*
  7. 64'FC Sochi:Oleg Kozhemyakin 1487 for Aleksandr Metsiev 1449 +22*
  8. 70'FC UFA:Danil Akhatov 1451 for Migran Ageyan 1458 −8*
  9. 70'FC UFA:Dilan Ortíz 1610 for Georgiy Gongadze 1455 −10*
  10. 75'FC Sochi:Pavel Meleshin 1601 for Zakhar Fedorov 1466 +21*
  11. 76'FC Sochi:Ramil Sheydayev 1526 for Mikhail Ignatov 1750 +4*
  12. 79'FC UFA:Akhmed Davlitgereev 1530 for Magomed Yakuev 1555 −8*
  13. 80'FC UFA:Zalimkhan Yusupov 1547 for Shamil Isaev 1561 −8*
  14. 89'FC Sochi:Timofey Mitrov 1620 +12*
  15. 90'FC Sochi:Aleksandr Soldatenkov 1748 for Vyacheslav Litvinov 1762 +4*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

GA. Belenov1407−16*
DI. Agapov1694−16*
FM. Ageyan1458−8*
DV. Cherov1552−10*
DA. Gilyazetdinov1410−11*
FG. Gongadze1455−10*
MS. Isaev1561−8*
DD. Kutin1500−12*
MD. Lipovoy1537−8*
MZ. Tarba1505−8*
MM. Yakuev1555−8*
COmari Tetradze1621−12*
Before kick-off: 51% · 27% · 22%(FC Sochi · draw · FC UFA)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–0 had 11%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: FC Sochi €598K, FC UFA €290K.
  • First League: A. Degtev was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1733).
  • FC Sochi were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

FC Sochi

6th in First League · 23 pts from 12

  • 18 SepDSka-khabarovsk 1633
  • 14 SepWVeles 1664
  • 30 AugWChelyabinsk 1656
  • 24 AugWKAMAZ 1653
  • 20 AugWFK Neftekhimik 1648

FC UFA

9th in First League · 18 pts from 12

  • 27 SepDTorpedo Moskva 1528
  • 18 SepLChelyabinsk 1512
  • 13 SepDVolga Ulyanovsk 1534
  • 5 SepDVeles 1555
  • 28 AugWFK Neftekhimik 1544

Season outlook

From the First League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
FC Sochi23 /1261.814%83%0%2nd
FC UFA18 /1248.4<1%9%1%8th
FC Sochi
FC UFA

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: First League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Makarchuk
A. Makarchuk

FC Sochi · +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1666

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Igor Osinkin

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Omari Tetradze

Coach DNA: –

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.