K League 1 · Regular Season - 31
FC Seoul 2–1 Jeju United FC
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
FC SeoulTeam 1681Jeju United FCTeam 1585- Moon Seon-min 46'
- Patryk Klimala 78'
- Lee Kun-hee 72'
We gave FC Seoul 48% to win: they did.
- Kim Jin-Su13'FC Seoul:Kim Jin-Su
- Lee Seung-mo off39'FC Seoul:Lee Seung-mo off
- 45'Italo Moreira Barcelos offJeju United FC:Italo Moreira Barcelos off
- 45'Kim Shin-jin offJeju United FC:Kim Shin-jin off
- Moon Seon-min46'FC Seoul:Moon Seon-min
- 61'Jeong Woon offJeju United FC:Jeong Woon off
- 72'Lee Kun-heeJeju United FC:Lee Kun-hee
- Patryk Klimala78'FC Seoul:Patryk Klimala
- Anderson Oliveira off80'FC Seoul:Anderson Oliveira off
- Son Jeong-Beom82'FC Seoul:Son Jeong-Beom
- 83'Jang Min-gyu offJeju United FC:Jang Min-gyu off
- 84'Tobias FigueiredoJeju United FC:Tobias Figueiredo
- Moon Seon-min off84'FC Seoul:Moon Seon-min off
- 85'Julien Celestine offJeju United FC:Julien Celestine off
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 48% · 29% · 23%(FC Seoul · draw · Jeju United FC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: FC Seoul €680K, Jeju United FC €377K.
- K League 1: P. Klimala was the highest-rated forward (1803).
- Style contrast in discipline (K League 1): FC Seoul ranked #2 of 13, Jeju United FC #13.
- Jeju United FC were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Seoul
1st in K League 1 · 62 pts from 30
- 20 SepLPohang Steelers K League 11763
- 12 SepWJeonbuk Motors K League 11746
- 8 SepLUlsan Hyundai FC K League 11757
- 5 SepWIncheon United K League 11771
- 30 AugWGwangju FC K League 11770
Jeju United FC
4th in K League 1 · 46 pts from 30
- 20 SepWGangwon FC K League 11580
- 12 SepDBucheon FC 1995 K League 11609
- 9 SepWGwangju FC K League 11563
- 5 SepDUlsan Hyundai FC K League 11591
- 30 AugWDaejeon Citizen K League 11589
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 62 /30 | 67.4 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Jeju United FC | 46 /30 | 49.2 | 0% | 63% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Seoul · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1803
Jeju United FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1714
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Seoul: balanced profile (how Gi-Dong Kim plays) · Jeju United FC: balanced profile (how Sergio Costa plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.