K League 1 · Regular Season - 33
FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
FC Seoul host Gangwon FC on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (K League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Seoul 51%, draw 26%, Gangwon FC 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Seoul €621K, Gangwon FC €395K.
- K League 1: P. Klimala is the highest-rated forward (1804).
- Style contrast in chance creation (K League 1): FC Seoul rank #3 of 13, Gangwon FC #13.
- Gangwon FC's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.1 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Seoul goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FC Seoul 1733 · Gangwon FC 1610
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Seoul · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1804
Gangwon FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1671
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Seoul
1st in K League 1 · 66 pts from 32
- 18 OctDGimcheon Sangmu FC K League 11755
- 14 OctLMelbourne Victory AFC Cup1506
- 10 OctWJeju United FC K League 11757
- 20 SepLPohang Steelers K League 11763
- 12 SepWJeonbuk Motors K League 11746
Gangwon FC
4th in K League 1 · 47 pts from 32
- 18 OctDIncheon United K League 11654
- 15 OctLPhnom Penh Crown AFC Cup1432
- 9 OctWBucheon FC 1995 K League 11619
- 27 SepDIncheon United K League 11625
- 20 SepLJeju United FC K League 11582
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 66 /32 | 67.8 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Gangwon FC | 47 /32 | 47.9 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Seoul: balanced profile (how Gi-Dong Kim plays) · Gangwon FC: balanced profile (how Kyung-Ho Chung plays)