Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen
FC Schalke 04 host RB Leipzig on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Schalke 04 21%, draw 26%, RB Leipzig 53%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Schalke 04 €2.1M, RB Leipzig €24.1M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Bundesliga matchday 8: 271 points.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Bundesliga): FC Schalke 04 rank #16 of 18, RB Leipzig #3.
- All 11 of FC Schalke 04's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Schalke 04 goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–210%
- 0–07%
- 1–36%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: FC Schalke 04 1955 · RB Leipzig 2226
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Schalke 04 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1997
RB Leipzig · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 2260
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Schalke 04
15th in Bundesliga · 5 pts from 6
- 17 OctLFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga1925
- 11 OctLSC Freiburg Bundesliga1992
- 20 SepDSV Elversberg Bundesliga1948
- 11 SepWUnion Berlin Bundesliga1973
- 5 SepDBayern München Bundesliga1957
RB Leipzig
7th in Bundesliga · 9 pts from 6
- 17 OctLBayern München Bundesliga2268
- 13 OctWPSV Eindhoven UEFA Champions League2287
- 10 OctWEintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga2229
- 20 SepLBayer Leverkusen Bundesliga2250
- 13 SepWHamburger SV Bundesliga2137
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 | 5 /6 | 35.3 | 0% | <1% | 36% | 16th |
| RB Leipzig | 9 /6 | 57.8 | 1% | 53% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · high-pressing
Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Schalke 04: balanced profile (how Miron Muslić plays) · RB Leipzig: dribble-heavy (how Martín Gastón Demichelis plays)