3. Liga · Regular Season - 14
FC Saarbrücken vs SV Wehen
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Ludwigspark Stadion
FC Saarbrücken host SV Wehen on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Saarbrücken 43%, draw 28%, SV Wehen 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Saarbrücken €405K, SV Wehen €439K.
- Home advantage makes FC Saarbrücken the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- SV Wehen are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Saarbrücken goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 2–28%
- 1–27%
- 1–07%
- 2–06%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: FC Saarbrücken 1662 · SV Wehen 1664
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Saarbrücken · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1600
SV Wehen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1747
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Saarbrücken
6th in 3. Liga · 20 pts from 13
- 6 NovLFC Viktoria Köln Germany 3 Liga1667
- 1 NovWWaldhof Mannheim Germany 3 Liga1677
- 25 OctLHavelse Germany 3 Liga1695
- 17 OctWFortuna Düsseldorf Germany 3 Liga1642
- 13 OctLMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1646
SV Wehen
4th in 3. Liga · 21 pts from 13
- 7 NovWHavelse Germany 3 Liga1663
- 31 OctWVerl Germany 3 Liga1636
- 24 OctWSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3 Liga1621
- 17 OctDSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1640
- 14 OctWAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1612
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Saarbrücken | 20 /13 | 59.9 | 3% | 29% | 0% | 5th |
| SV Wehen | 21 /13 | 60.5 | 4% | 33% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Saarbrücken: creative (how Argirios Giannikis plays) · SV Wehen: balanced profile (how Jochen Seitz plays)