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3. Liga · Regular Season - 9

FC Saarbrücken 2–4 MSV Duisburg

Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Ludwigspark-Stadion, Saarbrücken

FC Saarbrücken crestFC SaarbrückenTeam 1632
2–4
Full time
HT 0–3
MSV Duisburg crestMSV DuisburgTeam 1646

Match story

FC Saarbrücken · draw · MSV Duisburg

Before kick-off: 43% · 27% · 30%

Live chances: FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 0%, MSV Duisburg 100% at 90+3'1' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 43%, draw 27%, MSV Duisburg 30%2' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 43%, draw 27%, MSV Duisburg 30%3' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 43%, draw 27%, MSV Duisburg 30%4' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 43%, draw 28%, MSV Duisburg 30%5' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 43%, draw 28%, MSV Duisburg 30%6' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 43%, draw 28%, MSV Duisburg 30%7' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 43%, draw 28%, MSV Duisburg 30%8' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 42%, draw 28%, MSV Duisburg 30%9' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 42%, draw 28%, MSV Duisburg 29%10' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 42%, draw 28%, MSV Duisburg 29%11' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 42%, draw 29%, MSV Duisburg 29%12' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 42%, draw 29%, MSV Duisburg 29%13' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 42%, draw 29%, MSV Duisburg 29%14' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 42%, draw 29%, MSV Duisburg 29%15' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 41%, draw 29%, MSV Duisburg 29%16' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 41%, draw 29%, MSV Duisburg 29%17' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 41%, draw 30%, MSV Duisburg 29%18' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 41%, draw 30%, MSV Duisburg 29%19' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 41%, draw 30%, MSV Duisburg 29%20' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 41%, draw 30%, MSV Duisburg 29%21' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 41%, draw 30%, MSV Duisburg 29%22' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 40%, draw 31%, MSV Duisburg 29%23' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 40%, draw 31%, MSV Duisburg 29%24' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 40%, draw 31%, MSV Duisburg 29%25' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 40%, draw 31%, MSV Duisburg 29%26' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 40%, draw 31%, MSV Duisburg 29%27' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 40%, draw 32%, MSV Duisburg 29%28' · 0–0 · FC Saarbrücken 40%, draw 32%, MSV Duisburg 29%29' · 0–1 · FC Saarbrücken 20%, draw 26%, MSV Duisburg 55%30' · 0–1 · FC Saarbrücken 20%, draw 26%, MSV Duisburg 55%31' · 0–1 · FC Saarbrücken 19%, draw 26%, MSV Duisburg 55%32' · 0–1 · FC Saarbrücken 19%, draw 26%, MSV Duisburg 55%33' · 0–1 · FC Saarbrücken 19%, draw 26%, MSV Duisburg 56%34' · 0–2 · FC Saarbrücken 4%, draw 11%, MSV Duisburg 85%35' · 0–2 · FC Saarbrücken 4%, draw 11%, MSV Duisburg 85%36' · 0–2 · FC Saarbrücken 4%, draw 11%, MSV Duisburg 86%37' · 0–2 · FC Saarbrücken 4%, draw 10%, MSV Duisburg 86%38' · 0–2 · FC Saarbrücken 4%, draw 10%, MSV Duisburg 86%39' · 0–2 · FC Saarbrücken 4%, draw 10%, MSV Duisburg 86%40' · 0–2 · FC Saarbrücken 3%, draw 10%, MSV Duisburg 86%41' · 0–2 · FC Saarbrücken 3%, draw 10%, MSV Duisburg 87%42' · 0–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 3%, MSV Duisburg 97%43' · 0–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 3%, MSV Duisburg 97%44' · 0–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 3%, MSV Duisburg 97%45' · 0–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 2%, MSV Duisburg 97%45+1' · 0–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 2%, MSV Duisburg 97%45+2' · 0–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 2%, MSV Duisburg 97%HT · 0–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 2%, MSV Duisburg 97%46' · 0–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 2%, MSV Duisburg 97%47' · 0–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 2%, MSV Duisburg 97%48' · 0–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 2%, MSV Duisburg 98%49' · 0–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 2%, MSV Duisburg 98%50' · 0–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 2%, MSV Duisburg 98%51' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 2%, draw 8%, MSV Duisburg 90%52' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 2%, draw 8%, MSV Duisburg 90%53' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 2%, draw 8%, MSV Duisburg 91%54' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 2%, draw 7%, MSV Duisburg 91%55' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 2%, draw 7%, MSV Duisburg 91%56' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 2%, draw 7%, MSV Duisburg 91%57' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 7%, MSV Duisburg 92%58' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 7%, MSV Duisburg 92%59' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 6%, MSV Duisburg 92%60' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 6%, MSV Duisburg 93%61' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 6%, MSV Duisburg 93%62' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 6%, MSV Duisburg 93%63' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 6%, MSV Duisburg 93%64' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 5%, MSV Duisburg 94%65' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 5%, MSV Duisburg 94%66' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 5%, MSV Duisburg 94%67' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 5%, MSV Duisburg 95%68' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 5%, MSV Duisburg 95%69' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 4%, MSV Duisburg 95%70' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 4%, MSV Duisburg 95%71' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 1%, draw 4%, MSV Duisburg 96%72' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 4%, MSV Duisburg 96%73' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 3%, MSV Duisburg 96%74' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 3%, MSV Duisburg 96%75' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 3%, MSV Duisburg 97%76' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 3%, MSV Duisburg 97%77' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 3%, MSV Duisburg 97%78' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 2%, MSV Duisburg 97%79' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 2%, MSV Duisburg 97%80' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 2%, MSV Duisburg 98%81' · 1–3 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 2%, MSV Duisburg 98%82' · 1–4 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 0%, MSV Duisburg 100%83' · 1–4 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 0%, MSV Duisburg 100%84' · 1–4 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 0%, MSV Duisburg 100%85' · 1–4 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 0%, MSV Duisburg 100%86' · 1–4 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 0%, MSV Duisburg 100%87' · 1–4 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 0%, MSV Duisburg 100%88' · 1–4 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 0%, MSV Duisburg 100%89' · 1–4 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 0%, MSV Duisburg 100%90' · 1–4 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 0%, MSV Duisburg 100%90+1' · 2–4 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 0%, MSV Duisburg 100%90+2' · 2–4 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 0%, MSV Duisburg 100%90+3' · 2–4 · FC Saarbrücken 0%, draw 0%, MSV Duisburg 100%

Last reading, 90+3': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave FC Saarbrücken 43% to win: MSV Duisburg won.

  1. 29'MSV Duisburg:Lex-Tyger Lobinger 1668 +27 assist Aljaž Casar 1681 +17*
  2. 34'MSV Duisburg:Tobias Fleckstein 1707 +23
  3. 42'MSV Duisburg:Rasim Bulic 1714 +22 assist Lex-Tyger Lobinger 1668 +27
  4. 45'FC Saarbrücken:Kai Brünker 1504 for Kaan Caliskaner 1578 −8*
  5. 45'FC Saarbrücken:Sebastian Vasiliadis 1607 for Daniel Gleiber 1713 −6
  6. 47'FC Saarbrücken:Philip Fahrner 1661 −1
  7. 50'FC Saarbrücken:Kai Brünker 1504 assist Philip Fahrner 1661 −1
  8. 54'FC Saarbrücken:Calogero Rizzuto 1420 for Philip Fahrner 1661 −1
  9. 60'FC Saarbrücken:Gokdeniz Gurpuz 1737 for Alexander Staff 1800 −15
  10. 67'MSV Duisburg:Peter Remmert 1576 for Lex-Tyger Lobinger 1668 +27
  11. 67'MSV Duisburg:Ramien Safi 1606 for Conor Noss 1663 +28
  12. 69'FC Saarbrücken:Florian Pick 1636 −3
  13. 75'MSV Duisburg:Max Besuschkow 1628 for niklas jessen 1621 +25*
  14. 75'MSV Duisburg:Can Coskun 1618 for Frederik Christensen 1773 +8*
  15. 78'FC Saarbrücken:Christian Kühlwetter 1631 for Zac Shuaib 1439 −8*
  16. 79'MSV Duisburg:Florian Krüger 1635 for Dominik Kother 1710 +23
  17. 81'MSV Duisburg:Florian Krüger 1635 assist Joshua Bitter 1664 +26
  18. 90'FC Saarbrücken:Gokdeniz Gurpuz 1737

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations3-4-2-1
GM. Bignetti1763−12
DP. Fahrner1661−1
DM. Cvjetinović1684−3
DS. Voet1742−10
DN. Bretschneider1701−6
MF. Pick1636−3
MDaniel Gleiber1713−6
MZ. Shuaib1439−8*
MK. Caliskaner1578−8*
FK. Meisel1514−8*
FA. Staff1800−15
CArgirios Giannikis16520
GM. Braune1709+23
DN. Jessen1621+25*
DT. Fleckstein1707+23
DB. Schlicke1619+33
MJ. Bitter1664+26
MF. Christensen1773+8*
MR. Bulić1714+22
MA. Casar1681+17*
MC. Noß1663+28
MD. Kother1710+23
FL. Lobinger1668+27
CD. Hirsch1702+24
Before kick-off: 43% · 27% · 30%(FC Saarbrücken · draw · MSV Duisburg)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–4 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: FC Saarbrücken €413K, MSV Duisburg €446K.
  • Style contrast in chance creation (3. Liga): FC Saarbrücken ranked #1 of 20, MSV Duisburg #18.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

FC Saarbrücken

5th in 3. Liga · 14 pts from 8

  • 10 OctDFortuna Köln 1645
  • 19 SepWSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1688
  • 16 SepDPreußen Münster 1658
  • 12 SepLFC Ingolstadt 04 1694
  • 5 SepWSV Meppen 1677

MSV Duisburg

1st in 3. Liga · 21 pts from 8

  • 10 OctWHoffenheim II 1652
  • 20 SepWSV Wehen 1626
  • 15 SepWHavelse 1578
  • 12 SepLFortuna Düsseldorf 1616
  • 5 SepWSSV Jahn Regensburg 1633

Season outlook

From the 3. Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
FC Saarbrücken14 /861.910%44%<1%4th
MSV Duisburg21 /868.034%76%0%1st
FC Saarbrücken
MSV Duisburg

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 3. Liga

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Argirios Giannikis

Coach DNA: direct

Dietmar Hirsch

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

FC Saarbrücken: balanced profile (how Argirios Giannikis plays) · MSV Duisburg: balanced profile (how Dietmar Hirsch plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.