Premier League · Regular Season - 15
FC Rostov vs Krylia Sovetov
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Rostov Arena, Rostov
FC Rostov host Krylia Sovetov on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Rostov 50%, draw 27%, Krylia Sovetov 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Rostov €1.3M, Krylia Sovetov €939K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Premier Liga): FC Rostov rank #4 of 15, Krylia Sovetov #13.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Rostov goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FC Rostov 1760 · Krylia Sovetov 1697
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Rostov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1820
Krylia Sovetov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1794
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Rostov
6th in Premier Liga · 18 pts from 13
- 1 NovWDinamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League1769
- 25 OctWLokomotiv Russia Premier League1732
- 18 OctDBaltika Russia Premier League1728
- 9 OctWAkron Russia Premier League1711
- 17 SepLDynamo Russia Premier League1738
Krylia Sovetov
9th in Premier Liga · 15 pts from 13
- 2 NovLZenit Russia Premier League1727
- 24 OctWRubin Russia Premier League1687
- 17 OctLFakel Russia Premier League1700
- 10 OctDSpartak Moscow Russia Premier League1702
- 16 SepDLokomotiv Russia Premier League1678
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rostov | 18 /13 | 39.7 | 0% | 1% | 2% | 7th |
| Krylia Sovetov | 15 /13 | 34.6 | 0% | <1% | 12% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Rostov: balanced profile (how Dmitri Kirichenko plays) · Krylia Sovetov: balanced profile (how Sergey Bulatov plays)