Premier League · Regular Season - 10
FC Rostov 1–0 Akron
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Rostov Arena, Rostov-On-Don
FC RostovTeam 1668AkronTeam 1645We gave FC Rostov 45% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 45% · 30% · 25%(FC Rostov · draw · Akron)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 12%.
- Average value of the starting XI: FC Rostov €1.2M, Akron €987K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Rostov
12th in Premier Liga · 8 pts from 9
- 17 SepLDynamo Russia Premier League1737
- 13 SepLSpartak Moscow Russia Premier League1680
- 5 SepWFakel Russia Premier League1719
- 29 AugLFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League1723
- 22 AugLAkhmat Russia Premier League1752
Akron
13th in Premier Liga · 8 pts from 9
- 17 SepWAkhmat Russia Premier League1677
- 13 SepDFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League1661
- 6 SepDFC Orenburg Russia Premier League1605
- 28 AugDCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League1643
- 23 AugLKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League1583
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rostov | 8 /9 | 34.6 | 0% | <1% | 15% | 10th |
| Akron | 8 /9 | 31.0 | 0% | 0% | 37% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Rostov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1786
Akron · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1721
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Rostov: balanced profile (how Jonatan Alba Cabello plays) · Akron: balanced profile (how Srđan Blagojević plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.