Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 11
FC Porto B vs Torreense
Sun 15 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes, Vila Nova de Gaia
FC Porto B host Torreense on Sun 15 Nov 2026 (Segunda Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Porto B 35%, draw 29%, Torreense 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Porto B €474K, Torreense €491K.
- Style contrast in attacking (Segunda Liga): FC Porto B rank #3 of 15, Torreense #12.
- Only 1 of FC Porto B's expected starters is past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Porto B goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–09%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: FC Porto B 1524 · Torreense 1607
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Torreense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1684
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Porto B
15th in Segunda Liga · 8 pts from 8
- 25 OctDUnião de Leiria Liga Portugal 21530
- 10 OctWLeixoes Liga Portugal 21519
- 14 SepDVizela Liga Portugal 21436
- 5 SepLTondela Liga Portugal 21485
- 30 AugLPenafiel Liga Portugal 21439
Torreense
13th in Segunda Liga · 9 pts from 8
- 26 OctWAmarante Liga Portugal 21612
- 22 OctLFerencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League1580
- 15 OctLSunderland UEFA Europa League1579
- 10 OctLTondela Liga Portugal 21615
- 17 SepWLillestrom UEFA Europa League1592
Season outlook
From the Segunda Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto B | 8 /8 | 44.6 | <1% | 8% | 14% | 13th |
| Torreense | 9 /8 | 49.8 | 5% | 27% | 3% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Porto B: balanced profile (how João Brandão plays) · Torreense: balanced profile (how Luís Tralhão plays)