Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16
FC OSS vs Roda
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
FC OSS host Roda on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC OSS 27%, draw 28%, Roda 45%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC OSS €273K, Roda €357K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Eerste Divisie matchday 16: 184 points.
- Style contrast in attacking (Eerste Divisie): FC OSS rank #20 of 20, Roda #2.
- Roda are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC OSS goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: FC OSS 1509 · Roda 1693
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC OSS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1614
Roda · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.3 (Elite) · Elo 1800
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC OSS
15th in Eerste Divisie · 13 pts from 13
- 2 NovLHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1552
- 28 OctWPEC Zwolle Netherlands KNVB Beker1481
- 23 OctDJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1538
- 16 OctLDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1548
- 9 OctWHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1529
Roda
4th in Eerste Divisie · 25 pts from 13
- 30 OctWJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1693
- 27 OctWDe Graafschap Netherlands KNVB Beker1699
- 23 OctWAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1659
- 19 OctWJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1627
- 9 OctDJong PSV U21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie1623
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC OSS | 13 /13 | 39.8 | 0% | 0% | 49% | 20th |
| Roda | 25 /13 | 63.2 | 8% | 49% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct · high-pressing
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC OSS: direct · low-volume (how Sjors Ultee plays) · Roda: balanced profile (how Rob Penders plays)