Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12
FC OSS vs Jong Ajax
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
FC OSS host Jong Ajax on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC OSS 32%, draw 29%, Jong Ajax 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC OSS €253K, Jong Ajax €414K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Eerste Divisie): FC OSS rank #20 of 20, Jong Ajax #3.
- FC OSS's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.3 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC OSS goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: FC OSS 1497 · Jong Ajax 1610
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC OSS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1594
Jong Ajax · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1607
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC OSS
14th in Eerste Divisie · 12 pts from 11
- 16 OctLDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1547
- 9 OctWHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1531
- 3 OctWMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1505
- 26 SepLEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1506
- 18 SepWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1449
Jong Ajax
18th in Eerste Divisie · 8 pts from 10
- 9 OctLVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1607
- 18 SepDRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1601
- 14 SepLJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1534
- 11 SepLWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1639
- 4 SepWAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1584
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC OSS | 12 /11 | 41.5 | 0% | <1% | 43% | 20th |
| Jong Ajax | 8 /10 | 46.5 | 0% | 1% | 19% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC OSS: direct · low-volume (how Sjors Ultee plays) · Jong Ajax: dribble-heavy (how Carlos García Badías plays)