Superliga · Regular Season - 13
FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Right to Dream Park, Farum
FC Nordsjaelland host FC Midtjylland on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Superliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Nordsjaelland 35%, draw 29%, FC Midtjylland 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Nordsjaelland €2.8M, FC Midtjylland €5.1M.
- Superliga: E. Ólafsson is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2098).
- Style contrast in possession (Superliga): FC Nordsjaelland rank #1 of 11, FC Midtjylland #11.
- FC Midtjylland are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Nordsjaelland goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FC Nordsjaelland 1868 · FC Midtjylland 1939
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Nordsjaelland · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.8 (Elite) · Elo 1903
FC Midtjylland · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 2081
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Nordsjaelland
4th in Superliga · 19 pts from 11
- 18 OctDLyngby Denmark Superliga1896
- 15 OctDHeart Of Midlothian UEFA Conference League1915
- 9 OctDOdense Denmark Superliga1830
- 20 SepLViborg Denmark Superliga1888
- 13 SepWAarhus Denmark Superliga1914
FC Midtjylland
2nd in Superliga · 22 pts from 10
- 15 OctDEgnatia Rrogozhinë UEFA Conference League1981
- 11 OctWFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1938
- 19 SepDOdense Denmark Superliga1987
- 14 SepWBrondby Denmark Superliga1947
- 7 SepDFC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superliga1985
Season outlook
From the Superliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nordsjaelland | 19 /11 | 37.8 | 4% | 86% | 0% | 3rd |
| FC Midtjylland | 22 /10 | 44.4 | 41% | 99% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Nordsjaelland: possession-based (how Jens Fønsskov Olsen plays) · FC Midtjylland: dribble-heavy · direct (how Mike Tullberg plays)