Superliga · Regular Season - 14
FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · MCH Arena, Herning
FC Midtjylland host Sonderjyske on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Superliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Midtjylland 69%, draw 19%, Sonderjyske 12%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Midtjylland €3.8M, Sonderjyske €646K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Superliga matchday 14: 333 points.
- Draw chance 19%, below the Superliga average of 26% this round.
- Superliga: E. Ólafsson is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2098).
- Style contrast in attacking (Superliga): FC Midtjylland rank #2 of 11, Sonderjyske #9.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Midtjylland goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 3–08%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: FC Midtjylland 1981 · Sonderjyske 1648
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Midtjylland · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 2107
Sonderjyske · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1718
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Midtjylland
2nd in Superliga · 25 pts from 11
- 22 OctLSt. Truiden UEFA Conference League1943
- 19 OctWViborg Denmark Superliga1959
- 15 OctDEgnatia Rrogozhinë UEFA Conference League1981
- 11 OctWFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1938
- 19 SepDOdense Denmark Superliga1987
Sonderjyske
11th in Superliga · 8 pts from 11
- 18 OctWSilkeborg Denmark Superliga1600
- 12 OctLAarhus Denmark Superliga1624
- 20 SepWRanders FC Denmark Superliga1554
- 13 SepDLyngby Denmark Superliga1538
- 6 SepLAC Horsens Denmark Superliga1586
Season outlook
From the Superliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland | 25 /11 | 46.8 | 57% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Sonderjyske | 8 /11 | 20.6 | 0% | <1% | 63% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Midtjylland: dribble-heavy · direct (how Mike Tullberg plays) · Sonderjyske: balanced profile (how Fatah Abdirahman plays)