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Superliga · Regular Season - 10

FC Midtjylland 2–1 FC Copenhagen

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · MCH Arena, Herning

FC Midtjylland crestFC MidtjyllandTeam 1945
2–1
Full time
HT 1–0
FC Copenhagen crestFC CopenhagenTeam 1976

Match story

FC Midtjylland · draw · FC Copenhagen

Before kick-off: 39% · 27% · 34%

Live chances: FC Midtjylland 98%, draw 2%, FC Copenhagen 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · FC Midtjylland 39%, draw 27%, FC Copenhagen 34%2' · 0–0 · FC Midtjylland 39%, draw 28%, FC Copenhagen 34%3' · 0–0 · FC Midtjylland 39%, draw 28%, FC Copenhagen 34%4' · 0–0 · FC Midtjylland 39%, draw 28%, FC Copenhagen 34%5' · 0–0 · FC Midtjylland 39%, draw 28%, FC Copenhagen 33%6' · 0–0 · FC Midtjylland 39%, draw 28%, FC Copenhagen 33%7' · 0–0 · FC Midtjylland 38%, draw 28%, FC Copenhagen 33%8' · 0–0 · FC Midtjylland 38%, draw 28%, FC Copenhagen 33%9' · 0–0 · FC Midtjylland 38%, draw 28%, FC Copenhagen 33%10' · 0–0 · FC Midtjylland 38%, draw 29%, FC Copenhagen 33%11' · 0–0 · FC Midtjylland 38%, draw 29%, FC Copenhagen 33%12' · 0–0 · FC Midtjylland 38%, draw 29%, FC Copenhagen 33%13' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 66%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 13%14' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 66%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 13%16' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 67%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 13%17' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 67%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 13%18' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 67%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 13%19' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 67%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 12%20' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 67%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 12%21' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 67%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 12%22' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 67%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 12%23' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 67%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 12%24' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 67%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 12%25' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 67%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 12%26' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 67%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 12%27' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 67%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 12%28' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 68%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 11%29' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 68%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 11%30' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 68%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 11%31' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 68%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 11%32' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 68%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 11%33' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 68%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 11%34' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 68%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 11%35' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 68%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 10%36' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 68%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 10%37' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 69%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 10%38' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 69%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 10%39' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 69%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 10%40' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 69%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 10%41' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 69%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 10%42' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 69%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 9%43' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 69%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 9%44' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 70%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 9%45' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 70%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 9%45+1' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 70%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 9%45+2' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 70%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 9%45+3' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 70%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 9%HT · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 70%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 8%46' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 70%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 8%47' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 70%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 8%48' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 71%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 8%49' · 1–0 · FC Midtjylland 71%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 8%50' · 1–1 · FC Midtjylland 32%, draw 40%, FC Copenhagen 28%51' · 1–1 · FC Midtjylland 31%, draw 41%, FC Copenhagen 28%52' · 1–1 · FC Midtjylland 31%, draw 41%, FC Copenhagen 28%53' · 1–1 · FC Midtjylland 31%, draw 42%, FC Copenhagen 28%54' · 1–1 · FC Midtjylland 30%, draw 42%, FC Copenhagen 27%55' · 1–1 · FC Midtjylland 30%, draw 43%, FC Copenhagen 27%56' · 1–1 · FC Midtjylland 30%, draw 44%, FC Copenhagen 27%57' · 1–1 · FC Midtjylland 29%, draw 44%, FC Copenhagen 26%58' · 1–1 · FC Midtjylland 29%, draw 45%, FC Copenhagen 26%59' · 1–1 · FC Midtjylland 29%, draw 46%, FC Copenhagen 26%60' · 1–1 · FC Midtjylland 28%, draw 46%, FC Copenhagen 26%61' · 1–1 · FC Midtjylland 28%, draw 47%, FC Copenhagen 25%62' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 75%, draw 20%, FC Copenhagen 5%63' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 75%, draw 20%, FC Copenhagen 5%64' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 75%, draw 20%, FC Copenhagen 5%65' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 76%, draw 20%, FC Copenhagen 5%66' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 76%, draw 19%, FC Copenhagen 4%67' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 76%, draw 19%, FC Copenhagen 4%68' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 77%, draw 19%, FC Copenhagen 4%69' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 77%, draw 19%, FC Copenhagen 4%70' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 78%, draw 19%, FC Copenhagen 4%71' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 78%, draw 18%, FC Copenhagen 4%72' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 79%, draw 18%, FC Copenhagen 3%73' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 79%, draw 18%, FC Copenhagen 3%74' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 80%, draw 17%, FC Copenhagen 3%75' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 80%, draw 17%, FC Copenhagen 3%76' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 81%, draw 17%, FC Copenhagen 3%77' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 81%, draw 16%, FC Copenhagen 2%78' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 82%, draw 16%, FC Copenhagen 2%79' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 83%, draw 15%, FC Copenhagen 2%80' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 83%, draw 15%, FC Copenhagen 2%81' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 84%, draw 14%, FC Copenhagen 2%82' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 85%, draw 14%, FC Copenhagen 2%83' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 85%, draw 13%, FC Copenhagen 1%84' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 86%, draw 13%, FC Copenhagen 1%85' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 87%, draw 12%, FC Copenhagen 1%86' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 88%, draw 11%, FC Copenhagen 1%87' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 88%, draw 11%, FC Copenhagen 1%88' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 89%, draw 10%, FC Copenhagen 1%89' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 90%, draw 9%, FC Copenhagen 1%90' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 91%, draw 8%, FC Copenhagen 0%90+1' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 93%, draw 7%, FC Copenhagen 0%90+2' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 94%, draw 6%, FC Copenhagen 0%90+3' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 95%, draw 5%, FC Copenhagen 0%90+4' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 96%, draw 4%, FC Copenhagen 0%90+5' · 2–1 · FC Midtjylland 98%, draw 2%, FC Copenhagen 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 98% · 2% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave FC Midtjylland 39% to win: they did.

  1. 12'FC Midtjylland:Friday Etim 1793 +74* assist Philip Billing 2090 +19*
  2. 45'FC Midtjylland:Sofus Johannesen 1750 +7* for David Martínez 2049 −2*
  3. 45+2'FC Copenhagen:Marcos López 2007 −17*
  4. 49'FC Copenhagen:Mohamed Elyounoussi 1972 −19* (pen.)
  5. 54'FC Midtjylland:Hong Hyun-Seok 1922 −1* for Kjell-Arik Wätjen 1905 +5*
  6. 62'FC Midtjylland:Denil Castillo 2073 +20* assist Friday Etim 1793 +74*
  7. 64'FC Copenhagen:Thomas Delaney 1771 −15*
  8. 74'FC Copenhagen:Viktor Dadason 1598 −8* for Andreas Cornelius 1849 −12*
  9. 74'FC Copenhagen:Thapelo Maseko 1592 −8* for Thomas Delaney 1771 −15*
  10. 78'FC Midtjylland:Cho Gue-sung 2037 −7* for Denil Castillo 2073 +20*
  11. 78'FC Midtjylland:Julius Emefile 1691 −3* for Stanley Iheanacho 1712 +21*
  12. 81'FC Copenhagen:Birger Meling 1858 −11* for Marcos López 2007 −17*
  13. 88'FC Copenhagen:Marvin Nasnas 1701 −8* for Alex Král 1940 −5
  14. 88'FC Copenhagen:Geovanni Vianney Ndjee 1660 −8* for Mohamed Elyounoussi 1972 −19*
  15. 90'FC Midtjylland:Mileta Rajovic 1815 −8* for Friday Etim 1793 +74*
  16. 90+1'FC Copenhagen:William Clem 2004 −18*
  17. 90+2'FC Midtjylland:Andreas Maxsø 1834 +14*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-5-2Formations4-2-3-1
GN. Bakker1737+24*
DO. Diao2025+6*
DA. Maxsø1834+14*
DM. Bech2089+2*
MK. Wätjen1905+5*
MP. Billing2090+19*
MD. Castillo2073+20*
MP. Bravo2046+5*
MD. Martínez2049−2*
FS. Iheanacho1712+21*
FF. Etim1793+74*
CM. Tullberg2095+11*
GD. Ramaj1999−17*
DF. Beijmo2057−15
DA. Sørensen2048−23*
DA. Markgráf1816−8*
DM. López2007−17*
MW. Clem2004−18*
MT. Delaney1771−15*
MA. Král1940−5
MM. Elyounoussi1972−19*
MRobert1972−15*
FA. Cornelius1849−12*
CB. Svensson2007−27*
Before kick-off: 39% · 27% · 34%(FC Midtjylland · draw · FC Copenhagen)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: FC Midtjylland €4.3M, FC Copenhagen €2.5M.
  • FC Midtjylland were without 1 expected starter: R. Kristensen (2161).
  • Superliga: E. Ólafsson was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2098).
  • Style contrast in dribbling (Superliga): FC Midtjylland ranked #1 of 11, FC Copenhagen #8.
  • FC Midtjylland were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

FC Midtjylland

2nd in Superliga · 19 pts from 9

  • 19 SepDOdense 1987
  • 14 SepWBrondby 1947
  • 7 SepDFC Nordsjaelland 1985
  • 2 SepWAarhus 1911
  • 30 AugDSilkeborg 1968

FC Copenhagen

1st in Superliga · 24 pts from 9

  • 20 SepWBrondby 1942
  • 11 SepWAC Horsens 1882
  • 6 SepWOdense 1835
  • 3 SepWFC Nordsjaelland 1929
  • 31 AugWSonderjyske 1940

Season outlook

From the Superliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
FC Midtjylland19 /943.226%98%0%2nd
FC Copenhagen24 /947.368%100%0%1st
FC Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Superliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

P. Billing
P. Billing

FC Midtjylland · +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2072

A. Sørensen
A. Sørensen

FC Copenhagen · +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 2071

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Mike Tullberg

Coach DNA: dribble-heavy

Bo Svensson

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

FC Midtjylland: dribble-heavy · direct (how Mike Tullberg plays) · FC Copenhagen: balanced profile (how Bo Svensson plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.