Super League · Regular Season - 12
FC Luzern vs FC Sion
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Thermoplan Arena, Luzern
FC Luzern host FC Sion on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Luzern 26%, draw 28%, FC Sion 46%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Luzern €732K, FC Sion €1.8M.
- FC Sion's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Luzern goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–28%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: FC Luzern 1664 · FC Sion 1883
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Luzern · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1803
FC Sion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Elite) · Elo 1963
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Luzern
8th in Super League · 12 pts from 10
- 10 OctLFC Lugano Swiss Super League1670
- 19 SepWGrasshoppers Swiss Super League1632
- 13 SepLFC Basel 1893 Swiss Super League1638
- 5 SepDBSC Young Boys Swiss Super League1637
- 2 SepWFC Vaduz Swiss Super League1602
FC Sion
3rd in Super League · 19 pts from 10
- 10 OctLServette FC Swiss Super League1920
- 19 SepDFC Zurich Swiss Super League1931
- 15 SepWGrasshoppers Swiss Super League1922
- 12 SepWFC ST. Gallen Swiss Super League1891
- 6 SepWFC Thun Swiss Super League1855
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Luzern | 12 /10 | 26.0 | 0% | 4% | 21% | 8th |
| FC Sion | 19 /10 | 39.5 | 2% | 90% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Luzern: balanced profile (how Jörg Portmann plays) · FC Sion: balanced profile (how Didier Tholot plays)