Super League · Regular Season - 13
FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Thermoplan Arena, Luzern
FC Luzern host BSC Young Boys on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Luzern 25%, draw 28%, BSC Young Boys 47%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Luzern €764K, BSC Young Boys €2.1M.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Super League): FC Luzern rank #10 of 12, BSC Young Boys #2.
- BSC Young Boys are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Luzern goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FC Luzern 1665 · BSC Young Boys 1894
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Luzern · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1803
BSC Young Boys · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1964
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Luzern
8th in Super League · 12 pts from 10
- 10 OctLFC Lugano Swiss Super League1670
- 19 SepWGrasshoppers Swiss Super League1632
- 13 SepLFC Basel 1893 Swiss Super League1638
- 5 SepDBSC Young Boys Swiss Super League1637
- 2 SepWFC Vaduz Swiss Super League1602
BSC Young Boys
2nd in Super League · 22 pts from 10
- 11 OctWGrasshoppers Swiss Super League1920
- 19 SepWServette FC Swiss Super League1876
- 12 SepDFC Lugano Swiss Super League1861
- 5 SepDFC Luzern Swiss Super League1884
- 29 AugDFC Basel 1893 Swiss Super League1896
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Luzern | 12 /10 | 26.0 | 0% | 4% | 21% | 8th |
| BSC Young Boys | 22 /10 | 42.2 | 6% | 97% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Luzern: balanced profile (how Jörg Portmann plays) · BSC Young Boys: balanced profile (how G. Seoane plays)