Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 34
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn host Tammeka on Tue 27 Oct 2026 (Meistriliiga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Levadia Tallinn 70%, draw 19%, Tammeka 11%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Levadia Tallinn €486K, Tammeka €149K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Meistriliiga matchday 34: 351 points.
- Draw chance 19%, below the Meistriliiga average of 26% this round.
- Meistriliiga: K. Vallner is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1751).
- K. Lapa, Pedro Manoel, Thomas Lisboa, O. Kangaslahti, P. Veelma, P. Marin, T. Koskor, T. Lang, R. Kallas, G. Uggeri and M. Hydara (Tammeka) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Levadia Tallinn goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 3–09%
- 1–19%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: FC Levadia Tallinn 1639 · Tammeka 1288
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Levadia Tallinn · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1742
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Levadia Tallinn
1st in Meistriliiga · 81 pts from 32
- 30 JulLIFK Goteborg UEFA Conference League1691
- 21 JulWIFK Goteborg UEFA Conference League1673
- 16 JulWCaernarfon Town UEFA Conference League1651
- 9 JulWCaernarfon Town UEFA Conference League1651
- 30 MayWTammeka Estonia Meistriliiga1652
Tammeka
5th in Meistriliiga · 47 pts from 32
- 30 MayLFC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga1281
- 15 MayWNõmme United Estonia Meistriliiga1298
- 8 MayWKuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga1273
- 1 MayWPaide Estonia Meistriliiga1254
- 25 AprLLaagri Estonia Meistriliiga1234
Season outlook
From the Meistriliiga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 81 /32 | 89.5 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Tammeka | 47 /32 | 51.7 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –