Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 33
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn host Laagri on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Meistriliiga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Levadia Tallinn 69%, draw 19%, Laagri 12%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Levadia Tallinn €486K, Laagri €152K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Meistriliiga matchday 33: 331 points.
- Draw chance 19%, below the Meistriliiga average of 26% this round.
- Meistriliiga: K. Vallner is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1751).
- A. Järve (Laagri) has not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Levadia Tallinn goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 3–08%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: FC Levadia Tallinn 1639 · Laagri 1308
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Levadia Tallinn · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1742
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Levadia Tallinn
1st in Meistriliiga · 81 pts from 32
- 30 JulLIFK Goteborg UEFA Conference League1691
- 21 JulWIFK Goteborg UEFA Conference League1673
- 16 JulWCaernarfon Town UEFA Conference League1651
- 9 JulWCaernarfon Town UEFA Conference League1651
- 30 MayWTammeka Estonia Meistriliiga1652
Laagri
6th in Meistriliiga · 44 pts from 32
- 29 AugWNõmme United Estonia Meistriliiga1280
- 30 MayWTrans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga1278
- 20 MayLKalju Nomme Estonia Meistriliiga1280
- 16 MayLVaprus Estonia Meistriliiga1281
- 9 MayLFC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga1288
Season outlook
From the Meistriliiga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 81 /32 | 89.5 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Laagri | 44 /32 | 48.2 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –