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Premier League · Regular Season - 10

FC Krasnodar 2–3 Zenit

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Ozon Arena, Krasnodar

FC Krasnodar crestFC KrasnodarTeam 1972
2–3
Full time
HT 0–2
Zenit crestZenitTeam 2099

Match story

FC Krasnodar · draw · Zenit

Before kick-off: 34% · 30% · 36%

Live chances: FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 0%, Zenit 100% at 90+10'2' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 34%, draw 30%, Zenit 36%3' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 34%, draw 30%, Zenit 36%4' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 34%, draw 30%, Zenit 36%5' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 34%, draw 30%, Zenit 36%6' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 34%, draw 30%, Zenit 36%7' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 34%, draw 30%, Zenit 36%8' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 34%, draw 30%, Zenit 36%9' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 34%, draw 31%, Zenit 36%10' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 33%, draw 31%, Zenit 36%11' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 33%, draw 31%, Zenit 36%12' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 33%, draw 31%, Zenit 36%13' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 33%, draw 31%, Zenit 35%14' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 33%, draw 31%, Zenit 35%15' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 33%, draw 32%, Zenit 35%16' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 33%, draw 32%, Zenit 35%17' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 33%, draw 32%, Zenit 35%18' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 33%, draw 32%, Zenit 35%19' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 33%, draw 32%, Zenit 35%20' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 33%, draw 33%, Zenit 35%21' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 33%, draw 33%, Zenit 35%22' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 33%, draw 33%, Zenit 34%23' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 32%, draw 33%, Zenit 34%24' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 32%, draw 33%, Zenit 34%25' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 32%, draw 34%, Zenit 34%26' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 32%, draw 34%, Zenit 34%27' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 32%, draw 34%, Zenit 34%28' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 32%, draw 34%, Zenit 34%29' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 32%, draw 35%, Zenit 34%30' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 32%, draw 35%, Zenit 34%31' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 32%, draw 35%, Zenit 33%32' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 31%, draw 35%, Zenit 33%33' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 31%, draw 36%, Zenit 33%34' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 31%, draw 36%, Zenit 33%35' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 31%, draw 36%, Zenit 33%36' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 31%, draw 36%, Zenit 33%37' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 31%, draw 37%, Zenit 32%39' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 30%, draw 37%, Zenit 32%40' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 30%, draw 38%, Zenit 32%41' · 0–1 · FC Krasnodar 12%, draw 24%, Zenit 64%42' · 0–1 · FC Krasnodar 11%, draw 24%, Zenit 64%42' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 30%, draw 38%, Zenit 32%43' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 30%, draw 39%, Zenit 31%44' · 0–0 · FC Krasnodar 30%, draw 39%, Zenit 31%45+1' · 0–1 · FC Krasnodar 11%, draw 24%, Zenit 65%45+2' · 0–1 · FC Krasnodar 10%, draw 24%, Zenit 66%45+3' · 0–1 · FC Krasnodar 10%, draw 24%, Zenit 66%HT · 0–2 · FC Krasnodar 2%, draw 7%, Zenit 92%47' · 0–2 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 7%, Zenit 92%48' · 0–2 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 6%, Zenit 92%49' · 0–2 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 6%, Zenit 92%50' · 0–2 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 6%, Zenit 93%51' · 0–2 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 6%, Zenit 93%52' · 0–2 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 6%, Zenit 93%53' · 0–2 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 6%, Zenit 93%54' · 0–2 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 6%, Zenit 93%55' · 0–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 1%, Zenit 99%56' · 0–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 1%, Zenit 99%57' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 5%, Zenit 94%58' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 5%, Zenit 94%59' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 5%, Zenit 94%60' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 5%, Zenit 95%61' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 4%, Zenit 95%63' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 4%, Zenit 95%64' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 4%, Zenit 95%65' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 4%, Zenit 96%66' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 4%, Zenit 96%67' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 3%, Zenit 96%68' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 3%, Zenit 96%69' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 3%, Zenit 96%70' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 3%, Zenit 97%71' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 3%, Zenit 97%72' · 1–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 3%, Zenit 97%72' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 4%, draw 20%, Zenit 76%73' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 4%, draw 19%, Zenit 77%74' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 3%, draw 19%, Zenit 78%75' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 3%, draw 19%, Zenit 78%76' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 3%, draw 18%, Zenit 79%77' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 3%, draw 18%, Zenit 80%78' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 3%, draw 17%, Zenit 80%79' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 2%, draw 17%, Zenit 81%80' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 2%, draw 16%, Zenit 82%81' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 2%, draw 16%, Zenit 82%82' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 10%, Zenit 89%83' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 10%, Zenit 89%84' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 9%, Zenit 90%85' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 1%, draw 9%, Zenit 91%86' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 8%, Zenit 91%88' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 7%, Zenit 92%89' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 7%, Zenit 93%90' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 6%, Zenit 94%90+2' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 4%, Zenit 96%90+3' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 3%, Zenit 96%90+4' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 3%, Zenit 97%90+5' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 2%, Zenit 98%90+6' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 1%, Zenit 99%90+7' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 0%, Zenit 100%90+8' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 0%, Zenit 100%90+9' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 0%, Zenit 100%90+10' · 2–3 · FC Krasnodar 0%, draw 0%, Zenit 100%

Last reading, 90+10': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Zenit 36% to win: they did.

  1. 17'Zenit:Aleksandr Sobolev 2153 +25*
  2. 19'FC Krasnodar:Daniil Utkin 1706 −8*
  3. 31'Zenit:Luiz Henrique 2227 0*
  4. 31'FC Krasnodar:Lucas Olaza 2047 −19*
  5. 40'Zenit:Maksim Glushenkov 2180 +19* assist Douglas Santos 2153 0*
  6. 45'FC Krasnodar:Ilya Vakhania 1961 −8* for Valentin Paltsev 1702 −8*
  7. 45+2'FC Krasnodar:Aleksandr Chernikov 2089 −15*
  8. 45+4'Zenit:Maksim Glushenkov 2180 +19* assist Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos 2148 +27*
  9. 50'Zenit:Douglas Santos 2153 0*
  10. 53'Zenit:Aleksandr Sobolev 2153 +25* assist Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos 2148 +27*
  11. 55'FC Krasnodar:Joao Batxi 2048 −29*
  12. 61'FC Krasnodar:Magomed Ozdoev 1824 −13* for Aleksandr Chernikov 2089 −15*
  13. 71'FC Krasnodar:Jhon Cordoba 1963 −19* assist Ilya Vakhania 1961 −8*
  14. 74'Zenit:Kevin Andrade 1915 −4* for Artem Karpukas 1960 +10*
  15. 80'FC Krasnodar:Vitor Tormena 2080 −19*
  16. 81'Zenit:Daniil Kondakov 1781 −5* for Maksim Glushenkov 2180 +19*
  17. 81'Zenit:Jhon Jhon 2085 −6* for Luiz Henrique 2227 0*
  18. 82'FC Krasnodar:Juan Manuel Boselli 1766 −8* for Christian 2114 −18*
  19. 83'FC Krasnodar:Álex Maizon Rodríguez González 1714 −8* for Joao Batxi 2048 −29*
  20. 85'FC Krasnodar:Sergey Petrov 1881 −15* for Daniil Utkin 1706 −8*
  21. 90+6'FC Krasnodar:Magomed Ozdoev 1824 −13*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-2-3-1
GS. Agkatsev2101−19*
DV. Paltsev1702−8*
DVítor Tormena2080−19*
DJubal1964−14*
DL. Olaza2047−19*
MA. Chernikov2089−15*
MDouglas Augusto2018−15*
MChristian2114−18*
FD. Utkin1706−8*
FJ. Córdoba1963−19*
FBatxi2048−29*
CM. Musaev2066−24*
GD. Adamov2152+5*
DGustavo Mantuan2216+2*
DNino2220+16*
DN. Alip1996+19
DDouglas Santos21530*
MW. Barrios21440*
MA. Karpukas1960+10*
MM. Glushenkov2180+19*
MLuiz Henrique22270*
MPedro Henrique2148+27*
FA. Sobolev2153+25*
CS. Semak2200+11*
Before kick-off: 34% · 30% · 36%(FC Krasnodar · draw · Zenit)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–3 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: FC Krasnodar €4.8M, Zenit €8.9M.
  • Premier Liga: D. Adamov was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2147).
  • FC Krasnodar were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

FC Krasnodar

1st in Premier Liga · 21 pts from 9

  • 17 SepDFC Orenburg 1994
  • 13 SepDAkron 2047
  • 5 SepDKrylia Sovetov 2067
  • 29 AugWFC Rostov 2030
  • 23 AugWDinamo Makhachkala 2025

Zenit

5th in Premier Liga · 18 pts from 9

  • 16 SepWBaltika 2109
  • 12 SepWLokomotiv 2067
  • 5 SepLCSKA Moscow 2089
  • 29 AugWFakel 2067
  • 23 AugLSpartak Moscow 2145

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
FC Krasnodar21 /958.520%85%0%2nd
Zenit18 /962.148%96%0%1st
FC Krasnodar
Zenit

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

L. Olaza
L. Olaza

FC Krasnodar · +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2065

Nino
Nino

Zenit · +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2204

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Murad Musaev

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Sergey Semak

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

FC Krasnodar: balanced profile (how Murad Musaev plays) · Zenit: possession-based · disciplined (how Sergey Semak plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.