Premier League · Regular Season - 12
FC Krasnodar vs Baltika
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Ozon Arena, Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar host Baltika on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Krasnodar 60%, draw 23%, Baltika 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Krasnodar €5.0M, Baltika €1.8M.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Premier Liga): FC Krasnodar rank #4 of 15, Baltika #12.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Krasnodar goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: FC Krasnodar 1959 · Baltika 1768
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Krasnodar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2043
Baltika · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1752
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Krasnodar
5th in Premier Liga · 22 pts from 11
- 17 OctDLokomotiv Russia Premier League1979
- 10 OctLZenit Russia Premier League2002
- 17 SepDFC Orenburg Russia Premier League1994
- 13 SepDAkron Russia Premier League2047
- 5 SepDKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League2067
Baltika
7th in Premier Liga · 13 pts from 11
- 18 OctDFC Rostov Russia Premier League1770
- 11 OctDAkhmat Russia Premier League1789
- 16 SepLZenit Russia Premier League1784
- 12 SepDFakel Russia Premier League1803
- 6 SepLLokomotiv Russia Premier League1805
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | 22 /11 | 55.6 | 6% | 72% | 0% | 4th |
| Baltika | 13 /11 | 38.6 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Krasnodar: balanced profile (how Murad Musaev plays) · Baltika: balanced profile (how Andrey Talalaev plays)