Premier League · Regular Season - 12
FC Kharkiv vs Karpaty
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
FC Kharkiv host Karpaty on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Kharkiv 56%, draw 25%, Karpaty 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Kharkiv €1.5M, Karpaty €492K.
- FC Kharkiv have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Kharkiv goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: FC Kharkiv 1775 · Karpaty 1594
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Kharkiv · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1741
Karpaty · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1678
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Kharkiv
3rd in Premier League · 18 pts from 8
- 19 OctWLivyi Bereh Ukraine Premier League1822
- 10 OctWChornomorets Ukraine Premier League1810
- 19 SepWBukovyna Ukraine Premier League1786
- 5 SepWObolon'-Brovar Ukraine Premier League1774
- 31 AugWZorya Luhansk Ukraine Premier League1743
Karpaty
5th in Premier League · 15 pts from 9
- 18 OctDEpitsentr Dunayivtsi Ukraine Premier League1561
- 11 OctLDynamo Kyiv Ukraine Premier League1584
- 20 SepDVeres Rivne Ukraine Premier League1558
- 5 SepLShakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Premier League1640
- 29 AugDLivyi Bereh Ukraine Premier League1607
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Kharkiv | 18 /8 | 57.7 | 2% | 89% | 0% | 4th |
| Karpaty | 15 /9 | 44.6 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Kharkiv: balanced profile (how Mladen Bartulović plays) · Karpaty: balanced profile (how Fran Fernández plays)