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Liga MX · Apertura - 11

FC Juarez 1–1 Club Tijuana

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juarez

FC Juarez crestFC JuarezTeam 1758
1–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Club Tijuana crestClub TijuanaTeam 1860

Match story

FC Juarez · draw · Club Tijuana

Before kick-off: 37% · 29% · 34%

Live chances: FC Juarez 0%, draw 100%, Club Tijuana 0% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 37%, draw 29%, Club Tijuana 34%2' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 37%, draw 29%, Club Tijuana 34%3' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 37%, draw 29%, Club Tijuana 34%4' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 37%, draw 29%, Club Tijuana 34%5' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 37%, draw 30%, Club Tijuana 34%6' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 37%, draw 30%, Club Tijuana 34%7' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 36%, draw 30%, Club Tijuana 34%8' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 36%, draw 30%, Club Tijuana 34%9' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 36%, draw 30%, Club Tijuana 34%10' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 36%, draw 30%, Club Tijuana 34%11' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 36%, draw 30%, Club Tijuana 33%12' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 36%, draw 31%, Club Tijuana 33%13' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 36%, draw 31%, Club Tijuana 33%14' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 36%, draw 31%, Club Tijuana 33%15' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 36%, draw 31%, Club Tijuana 33%16' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 36%, draw 31%, Club Tijuana 33%17' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 36%, draw 32%, Club Tijuana 33%18' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 35%, draw 32%, Club Tijuana 33%19' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 35%, draw 32%, Club Tijuana 33%20' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 35%, draw 32%, Club Tijuana 33%21' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 35%, draw 32%, Club Tijuana 33%22' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 35%, draw 32%, Club Tijuana 33%23' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 35%, draw 33%, Club Tijuana 32%24' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 35%, draw 33%, Club Tijuana 32%25' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 35%, draw 33%, Club Tijuana 32%26' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 35%, draw 33%, Club Tijuana 32%27' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 34%, draw 34%, Club Tijuana 32%28' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 34%, draw 34%, Club Tijuana 32%29' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 34%, draw 34%, Club Tijuana 32%30' · 0–0 · FC Juarez 34%, draw 34%, Club Tijuana 32%31' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 15%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 60%32' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 15%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 60%33' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 15%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 60%34' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 14%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 61%35' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 14%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 61%36' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 14%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 61%37' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 14%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 61%38' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 14%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 61%39' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 13%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 62%40' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 13%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 62%41' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 13%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 62%42' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 13%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 62%43' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 13%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 63%44' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 12%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 63%45' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 12%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 63%45+1' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 12%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 63%45+2' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 12%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 64%45+3' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 11%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 64%HT · 0–1 · FC Juarez 11%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 64%46' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 11%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 64%47' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 11%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 64%48' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 11%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 65%49' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 11%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 65%50' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 10%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 65%51' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 10%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 66%52' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 10%, draw 24%, Club Tijuana 66%53' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 9%, draw 24%, Club Tijuana 66%54' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 9%, draw 24%, Club Tijuana 67%55' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 9%, draw 24%, Club Tijuana 67%56' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 9%, draw 24%, Club Tijuana 67%57' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 8%, draw 24%, Club Tijuana 68%58' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 8%, draw 24%, Club Tijuana 68%59' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 8%, draw 24%, Club Tijuana 69%60' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 7%, draw 23%, Club Tijuana 69%61' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 7%, draw 23%, Club Tijuana 70%62' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 7%, draw 23%, Club Tijuana 70%63' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 7%, draw 23%, Club Tijuana 71%64' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 6%, draw 23%, Club Tijuana 71%65' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 6%, draw 22%, Club Tijuana 71%66' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 6%, draw 22%, Club Tijuana 72%67' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 6%, draw 22%, Club Tijuana 72%68' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 5%, draw 22%, Club Tijuana 73%69' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 5%, draw 21%, Club Tijuana 74%70' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 5%, draw 21%, Club Tijuana 74%71' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 5%, draw 21%, Club Tijuana 75%72' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 4%, draw 21%, Club Tijuana 75%73' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 4%, draw 20%, Club Tijuana 76%74' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 4%, draw 20%, Club Tijuana 76%75' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 4%, draw 19%, Club Tijuana 77%76' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 3%, draw 19%, Club Tijuana 78%77' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 3%, draw 18%, Club Tijuana 78%78' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 3%, draw 18%, Club Tijuana 79%79' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 3%, draw 17%, Club Tijuana 80%80' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 2%, draw 17%, Club Tijuana 81%81' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 2%, draw 16%, Club Tijuana 82%82' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 2%, draw 16%, Club Tijuana 82%83' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 2%, draw 15%, Club Tijuana 83%84' · 0–1 · FC Juarez 2%, draw 14%, Club Tijuana 84%85' · 1–1 · FC Juarez 13%, draw 75%, Club Tijuana 12%86' · 1–1 · FC Juarez 12%, draw 76%, Club Tijuana 12%87' · 1–1 · FC Juarez 11%, draw 78%, Club Tijuana 11%88' · 1–1 · FC Juarez 10%, draw 80%, Club Tijuana 10%89' · 1–1 · FC Juarez 9%, draw 82%, Club Tijuana 9%90' · 1–1 · FC Juarez 8%, draw 84%, Club Tijuana 8%90+1' · 1–1 · FC Juarez 7%, draw 86%, Club Tijuana 7%90+2' · 1–1 · FC Juarez 6%, draw 88%, Club Tijuana 6%90+3' · 1–1 · FC Juarez 5%, draw 91%, Club Tijuana 5%90+4' · 1–1 · FC Juarez 3%, draw 93%, Club Tijuana 3%90+5' · 1–1 · FC Juarez 2%, draw 96%, Club Tijuana 2%90+6' · 1–1 · FC Juarez 1%, draw 99%, Club Tijuana 1%90+7' · 1–1 · FC Juarez 0%, draw 100%, Club Tijuana 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave FC Juarez 37% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 31'Club Tijuana:Mourad El Ghezouani 1877 −6* (pen.)
  2. 45'FC Juarez:Madson de Souza Silva 1882 −9* for Monchu 1863 −8*
  3. 45+2'FC Juarez:Monchu 1863 −8*
  4. 56'FC Juarez:Leonardo Silva 1401 −8*
  5. 58'FC Juarez:Eder Lopez 1542 −8* for Ricardo Oliveira 1743 −8*
  6. 59'FC Juarez:Luca Dupuy 1648 −8* for Jesus Murillo 1858 −12*
  7. 63'Club Tijuana:Angel Zapata 1784 −7* for Yael Padilla 1806 −7*
  8. 65'FC Juarez:Denzell Garcia 1875 −8*
  9. 65'Club Tijuana:Angel Zapata 1784 −7*
  10. 67'FC Juarez:Gilberto Sepulveda 1896 −10*
  11. 69'Club Tijuana:Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze 1593 −7* for Mourad El Ghezouani 1877 −6*
  12. 69'Club Tijuana:Pablo Ortíz 1817 −7* for Ramiro Árciga 1923 −7*
  13. 71'Club Tijuana:Pablo Ortíz 1817 −7*
  14. 72'FC Juarez:Francisco Nevarez 1724 −8*
  15. 75'FC Juarez:Jan Carlo Carmona Nunez 1427 −8* for Francisco Nevarez 1724 −8*
  16. 75'FC Juarez:Rodrigo Dourado 1811 −12* for Leonardo Silva 1401 −8*
  17. 80'Club Tijuana:Jackson Porozo 1945 −6*
  18. 84'FC Juarez:Rodrigo Dourado 1811 −12* assist Daniel Piña 1749 −8*
  19. 86'Club Tijuana:Francisco González 1764 −8* for Jesús Vega 1907 −7*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-1-4-1
GS. Jurado1862−8*
DF. Nevárez1724−8*
DJ. Murillo1858−12*
DD. Piña1749−8*
DG. Sepúlveda1896−10*
MD. García1875−8*
MMonchu1863−8*
ML. Silva1401−8*
MRicardinho1743−8*
MJ. Rodríguez1865−9*
FÓ. Estupiñán1850−10*
CT. Campos1626−8*
GA. Rodríguez1897−7*
DR. Fernández1960−7*
DJ. Porozo1945−6*
DA. Gómez1975−7*
DJ. Vega1907−7*
MI. Tona1951−6*
MR. Árciga1923−7*
MY. Padilla1806−7*
MI. Rivero1877−13*
MAdonis Preciado1857−8*
FMourad1877−6*
CS. Abreu1912−6*
Before kick-off: 37% · 29% · 34%(FC Juarez · draw · Club Tijuana)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: FC Juarez €1.9M, Club Tijuana €2.2M.
  • Home advantage made FC Juarez the favourite: it added 10 points to their win chance; Liga MX has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

FC Juarez

18th in Liga MX · 3 pts from 10

  • 28 SepLLeon 1787
  • 19 SepWTigres UANL 1801
  • 14 SepLSantos Laguna 1835
  • 5 SepLCF Pachuca 1841
  • 31 AugLToluca 1851

Club Tijuana

9th in Liga MX · 14 pts from 9

  • 26 SepLAtlas 1876
  • 21 SepDCF Pachuca 1913
  • 12 SepLClub Queretaro 1924
  • 22 AugLGuadalajara Chivas 1921
  • 17 AugWCruz Azul 1901

Season outlook

From the Liga MX simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
FC Juarez3 /1012.50%0%94%18th
Club Tijuana14 /924.71%14%2%8th
FC Juarez
Club Tijuana

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga MX

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. Piña
D. Piña

FC Juarez · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1757

A. Rodríguez
A. Rodríguez

Club Tijuana · +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1905

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Tomás Alberto Campos Alejandre

Coach DNA: –

Washington Sebastián Abreu Gallo

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

FC Juarez: balanced profile (how Tomás Alberto Campos Alejandre plays) · Club Tijuana: balanced profile (how Washington Sebastián Abreu Gallo plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.