Liga MX · Apertura - 17
FC Juarez vs Atlas
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 03:00 UTC · Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juarez
FC Juarez host Atlas on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Juarez 37%, draw 29%, Atlas 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Juarez €1.8M, Atlas €2.4M.
- Home advantage makes FC Juarez the favourite here: it adds 10 points to their win chance; Liga MX has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Juarez goals first.
- 1–114%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- 1–07%
- 2–27%
- 0–17%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: FC Juarez 1809 · Atlas 1915
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Juarez · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1794
Atlas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1905
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Juarez
18th in Liga MX · 11 pts from 16
- 7 NovWAtletico San Luis Liga MX1773
- 31 OctWClub Queretaro Liga MX1742
- 24 OctDNecaxa Liga MX1765
- 21 OctLAtlante FC Liga MX1778
- 18 OctLCruz Azul Liga MX1722
Atlas
5th in Liga MX · 27 pts from 16
- 7 NovLCF Pachuca Liga MX1931
- 31 OctWAtletico San Luis Liga MX1879
- 25 OctWPuebla Liga MX1920
- 22 OctLClub America Liga MX1927
- 17 OctWNecaxa Liga MX1903
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Juarez | 11 /16 | 12.4 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 18th |
| Atlas | 27 /16 | 28.3 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Juarez: balanced profile (how T. Campos plays) · Atlas: balanced profile (how H. Crespo plays)