Liga MX · Apertura - 13
FC Juarez vs Atlante FC
Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC · Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juarez
FC Juarez host Atlante FC on Wed 21 Oct 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Juarez 55%, draw 25%, Atlante FC 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Juarez €1.9M, Atlante FC €508K.
- Atlante FC's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.5 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Juarez goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: FC Juarez 1803 · Atlante FC 1679
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Juarez · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1748
Atlante FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1711
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Juarez
18th in Liga MX · 4 pts from 12
- 18 OctLCruz Azul Liga MX1729
- 10 OctDClub Tijuana Liga MX1786
- 28 SepLLeon Liga MX1787
- 19 SepWTigres UANL Liga MX1801
- 14 SepLSantos Laguna Liga MX1835
Atlante FC
16th in Liga MX · 11 pts from 12
- 17 OctLU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX1666
- 10 OctLClub Queretaro Liga MX1700
- 26 SepWMonterrey Liga MX1640
- 19 SepDPuebla Liga MX1596
- 12 SepLCF Pachuca Liga MX1645
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Juarez | 4 /12 | 11.1 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 18th |
| Atlante FC | 11 /12 | 15.7 | 0% | 0% | 71% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy