Erovnuli Liga · Regular Season - 32
FC Iberia 1999 vs Gagra
Mon 9 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
FC Iberia 1999 host Gagra on Mon 9 Nov 2026 (Erovnuli Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Iberia 1999 60%, draw 23%, Gagra 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Iberia 1999 €295K, Gagra €137K.
- Erovnuli Liga: G. Makaridze is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1581).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Iberia 1999 goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: FC Iberia 1999 1534 · Gagra 1314
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Iberia 1999 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1593
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Iberia 1999
3rd in Erovnuli Liga · 52 pts from 29
- 22 OctDMjallby AIF UEFA Conference League1546
- 19 OctWDila Georgia Erovnuli Liga1551
- 15 OctLSt. Truiden UEFA Conference League1534
- 10 OctWMeshakhte Georgia Erovnuli Liga1546
- 17 SepWDila Georgia Erovnuli Liga1525
Gagra
8th in Erovnuli Liga · 30 pts from 30
- 23 OctDSpaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga1288
- 17 OctLDinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1316
- 11 OctLSamgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga1318
- 19 SepDMeshakhte Georgia Erovnuli Liga1284
- 14 SepLDinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1323
Season outlook
From the Erovnuli Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Iberia 1999 | 52 /29 | 63.3 | 13% | 100% | 0% | 3rd |
| Gagra | 30 /30 | 36.7 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –