Premier League · Regular Season - 24
FC Gomel 1–5 ML Vitebsk
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Central Stadion, Gomel
FC GomelTeam 1427
ML VitebskTeam 1612- Aleksei Gavrilovich 30' (pen)
- Artem Kontsevoy 1', 5'
- Denilho Cleonise 49'
- Valeri Gromyko 69'
- M. Bulanov 82'
We gave ML Vitebsk 44% to win: they did.
- 1'Artem Kontsevoy 1684 +27 assist Aleksandar Mesarovic 1723 +14*
ML Vitebsk:Artem Kontsevoy 1684 +27 assist Aleksandar Mesarovic 1723 +14* - 5'Artem Kontsevoy 1684 +27 assist Radivoj Bosić 1710 +16*
ML Vitebsk:Artem Kontsevoy 1684 +27 assist Radivoj Bosić 1710 +16* - 21'Radivoj Bosić 1710 +16*
ML Vitebsk:Radivoj Bosić 1710 +16* - Vadim Martinkevich 1475 for Damir·Shaikhtdinov 1376 −8*24'
FC Gomel:Vadim Martinkevich 1475 for Damir·Shaikhtdinov 1376 −8* - Aleksei Gavrilovich 1294 −17* (pen.)30'
FC Gomel:Aleksei Gavrilovich 1294 −17* (pen.) - 34'Silas Gnaka 1764 for Aleksandar Mesarovic 1723 +14*
ML Vitebsk:Silas Gnaka 1764 for Aleksandar Mesarovic 1723 +14* - 45'Yan Skibsky 1543 for Sergei Balanovich 1350 +43*
ML Vitebsk:Yan Skibsky 1543 for Sergei Balanovich 1350 +43* - 49'Denilho Cleonise 1744 +21 assist Radivoj Bosić 1710 +16*
ML Vitebsk:Denilho Cleonise 1744 +21 assist Radivoj Bosić 1710 +16* - Denis·Kovalevich 1407 for Raymond Adeola 1505 −21*51'
FC Gomel:Denis·Kovalevich 1407 for Raymond Adeola 1505 −21* - 69'Valeri Gromyko 1672 +26 assist Silas Gnaka 1764
ML Vitebsk:Valeri Gromyko 1672 +26 assist Silas Gnaka 1764 - 72'M. Bulanov 1183 for Valeri Gromyko 1672 +26
ML Vitebsk:M. Bulanov 1183 for Valeri Gromyko 1672 +26 - 72'Timur Ivanov 1400 for Denilho Cleonise 1744 +21
ML Vitebsk:Timur Ivanov 1400 for Denilho Cleonise 1744 +21 - 76'Valery Bocherov 1585 for Radivoj Bosić 1710 +16*
ML Vitebsk:Valery Bocherov 1585 for Radivoj Bosić 1710 +16* - Maksim Mardas 1166 for Victor Sotnikov 1468 −17*78'
FC Gomel:Maksim Mardas 1166 for Victor Sotnikov 1468 −17* - 82'M. Bulanov 1183 assist Valery Bocherov 1585
ML Vitebsk:M. Bulanov 1183 assist Valery Bocherov 1585 - Vladislav Lazarev 1425 −12*86'
FC Gomel:Vladislav Lazarev 1425 −12*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 27% · 29% · 44%(FC Gomel · draw · ML Vitebsk)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–5 had <1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: FC Gomel €247K, ML Vitebsk €453K.
- Premier League: P. Pavlyuchenko was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1720).
- ML Vitebsk were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Gomel
6th in Premier League · 39 pts from 23
- 20 SepWBaranovichi Belarus Premier League1472
- 13 SepLFC Isloch Minsk R. Belarus Premier League1466
- 5 SepWTorpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League1439
- 28 AugWBelshina Belarus Premier League1444
- 22 AugDSlavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League1446
ML Vitebsk
2nd in Premier League · 44 pts from 21
- 18 SepWArsenal Belarus Premier League1610
- 13 SepDFC Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League1555
- 6 SepDDinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League1583
- 2 SepDBelshina Belarus Premier League1573
- 29 AugWDinamo Brest Belarus Premier League1641
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Gomel | 39 /23 | 49.3 | 1% | 29% | 0% | 5th |
| ML Vitebsk | 44 /21 | 57.2 | 52% | 97% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

ML Vitebsk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1801
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.