Premier League · Regular Season - 29
FC Gomel vs Bate Borisov
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel
FC Gomel host Bate Borisov on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Gomel 51%, draw 26%, Bate Borisov 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Gomel €257K, Bate Borisov €176K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Gomel goals first.
- 1–013%
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- Other scores39%
Team Elo: FC Gomel 1443 · Bate Borisov 1325
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bate Borisov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1347
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Gomel
6th in Premier League · 43 pts from 28
- 6 NovWArsenal Belarus Premier League1452
- 31 OctLFC Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League1432
- 24 OctLDinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League1454
- 17 OctDDinamo Brest Belarus Premier League1457
- 11 OctLML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League1462
Bate Borisov
14th in Premier League · 24 pts from 28
- 7 NovWTorpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League1305
- 30 OctLArsenal Belarus Premier League1287
- 24 OctLBelshina Belarus Premier League1312
- 18 OctLFC Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League1320
- 14 OctLNeman Belarus Premier League1333
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Gomel | 43 /28 | 45.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6th |
| Bate Borisov | 24 /28 | 26.1 | 0% | 0% | 55% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –