Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16
FC Eindhoven vs Waalwijk
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven host Waalwijk on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Eindhoven 32%, draw 29%, Waalwijk 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Eindhoven €271K, Waalwijk €435K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Eerste Divisie): FC Eindhoven rank #20 of 20, Waalwijk #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Eindhoven goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–28%
- 2–28%
- 2–17%
- 0–16%
- 0–25%
- Other scores53%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: FC Eindhoven 1483 · Waalwijk 1606
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Eindhoven · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1505
Waalwijk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1732
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Eindhoven
20th in Eerste Divisie · 11 pts from 14
- 6 NovLJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1517
- 30 OctLHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1530
- 27 OctWFC Volendam Netherlands KNVB Beker1472
- 23 OctLJong PSV U21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie1489
- 16 OctLVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1496
Waalwijk
11th in Eerste Divisie · 17 pts from 14
- 6 NovDFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1614
- 30 OctLAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1600
- 27 OctDBarendrecht Netherlands KNVB Beker1557
- 23 OctDDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1645
- 18 OctDFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1668
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Eindhoven | 11 /14 | 36.0 | 0% | 0% | 73% | 20th |
| Waalwijk | 17 /14 | 49.1 | 0% | 2% | 5% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Eindhoven: balanced profile (how Jan Poortvliet plays) · Waalwijk: balanced profile (how Sander Duits plays)