Premier League · Regular Season - 24
FC Dnepr Mogilev 2–3 Dinamo Minsk
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Spartak Stadium, Mahilyow
FC Dnepr MogilevTeam 1316
Dinamo MinskTeam 1477Match story
FC Dnepr Mogilev · draw · Dinamo MinskBefore kick-off: 29% · 30% · 41%
Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 3% · 97%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Aleksandr Selyava 53' (og)
- Dmitriy·Lisakovich 81'
- Evgeni Malashevich 6', 70'
- Aleksandr Mikhalenko 48' (og)
We gave Dinamo Minsk 41% to win: they did.
- 6'Evgeni Malashevich 1579 +4*
Dinamo Minsk:Evgeni Malashevich 1579 +4* - Kirill Kirilenko 1302 −8*8'
FC Dnepr Mogilev:Kirill Kirilenko 1302 −8* - 8'Aleksey Vakulich 1563 +5*
Dinamo Minsk:Aleksey Vakulich 1563 +5* - Kirill Zabelin 1351 −8*35'
FC Dnepr Mogilev:Kirill Zabelin 1351 −8* - 36'Aleksey Ivanov 1482 +10*
Dinamo Minsk:Aleksey Ivanov 1482 +10* - 45'Artem Sokolovskiy 1406 for Daniil Dushevskiy 1326 +24*
Dinamo Minsk:Artem Sokolovskiy 1406 for Daniil Dushevskiy 1326 +24* - Nikita Tereshchuk 1327 for Kirill Kirilenko 1302 −8*45'
FC Dnepr Mogilev:Nikita Tereshchuk 1327 for Kirill Kirilenko 1302 −8* - 48'Aleksandr Mikhalenko 1337 −8* (own goal)
Dinamo Minsk:Aleksandr Mikhalenko 1337 −8* (own goal) - Aleksandr Selyava 1556 +7 (own goal)53'
FC Dnepr Mogilev:Aleksandr Selyava 1556 +7 (own goal) - 55'Moustapha Djimet 1562 for Rayan-Elie Guibero 1199 +35*
Dinamo Minsk:Moustapha Djimet 1562 for Rayan-Elie Guibero 1199 +35* - Nenad Perovic 1218 for Egor Karpitskiy 1421 −8*58'
FC Dnepr Mogilev:Nenad Perovic 1218 for Egor Karpitskiy 1421 −8* - Kirill Tsepenkov 1387 for Nikita krasnov 1062 −8*70'
FC Dnepr Mogilev:Kirill Tsepenkov 1387 for Nikita krasnov 1062 −8* - 70'Evgeni Malashevich 1579 +4* assist karen vardanyan 1584 +4*
Dinamo Minsk:Evgeni Malashevich 1579 +4* assist karen vardanyan 1584 +4* - 71'Mikhail aleksandrov 1181 for Evgeni Malashevich 1579 +4*
Dinamo Minsk:Mikhail aleksandrov 1181 for Evgeni Malashevich 1579 +4* - R. Pilecki 1322 for Dmitriy·Lisakovich 1606 −1081'
FC Dnepr Mogilev:R. Pilecki 1322 for Dmitriy·Lisakovich 1606 −10 - Dmitriy·Lisakovich 1606 −1081'
FC Dnepr Mogilev:Dmitriy·Lisakovich 1606 −10 - Andrey Potapenko 1380 for Maksim Kasarab 1374 −8*81'
FC Dnepr Mogilev:Andrey Potapenko 1380 for Maksim Kasarab 1374 −8*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 29% · 30% · 41%(FC Dnepr Mogilev · draw · Dinamo Minsk)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–3 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: FC Dnepr Mogilev €184K, Dinamo Minsk €257K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Dnepr Mogilev
16th in Premier League · 16 pts from 23
- 20 SepLDinamo Brest Belarus Premier League1334
- 13 SepDML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League1322
- 6 SepLBaranovichi Belarus Premier League1352
- 30 AugDFC Isloch Minsk R. Belarus Premier League1313
- 24 AugDTorpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League1333
Dinamo Minsk
3rd in Premier League · 43 pts from 21
- 19 SepWBate Borisov Belarus Premier League1532
- 13 SepLDinamo Brest Belarus Premier League1524
- 6 SepDML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League1527
- 2 SepWNaftan Belarus Premier League1523
- 29 AugLBaranovichi Belarus Premier League1520
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dnepr Mogilev | 16 /23 | 24.5 | 0% | 0% | 79% | 15th |
| Dinamo Minsk | 43 /21 | 55.2 | 21% | 91% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Dinamo Minsk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1549
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.