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Premier League · Regular Season - 25

FC Dnepr Mogilev 2–1 Bate Borisov

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Spartak Stadium, Mahilyow

FC Dnepr Mogilev crestFC Dnepr MogilevTeam 1327
2–1
Full time
HT 1–0
Bate Borisov crestBate BorisovTeam 1326

Match story

FC Dnepr Mogilev · draw · Bate Borisov

Before kick-off: 40% · 30% · 29%

Live chances: FC Dnepr Mogilev 96%, draw 3%, Bate Borisov 0% at 90+4'3' · 0–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 40%, draw 30%, Bate Borisov 29%4' · 0–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 40%, draw 31%, Bate Borisov 29%5' · 0–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 40%, draw 31%, Bate Borisov 29%6' · 0–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 40%, draw 31%, Bate Borisov 29%7' · 0–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 40%, draw 31%, Bate Borisov 29%8' · 0–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 40%, draw 31%, Bate Borisov 29%9' · 0–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 40%, draw 31%, Bate Borisov 29%11' · 0–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 40%, draw 31%, Bate Borisov 29%12' · 0–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 39%, draw 31%, Bate Borisov 29%13' · 0–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 39%, draw 32%, Bate Borisov 29%14' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 67%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 11%15' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 67%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 11%16' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 67%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 11%17' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 67%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 11%18' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 67%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 11%19' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 67%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 11%20' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 68%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 11%21' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 68%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 11%22' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 68%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 11%23' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 68%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 10%24' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 68%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 10%25' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 68%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 10%27' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 68%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 10%28' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 68%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 10%29' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 68%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 10%30' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 68%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 10%31' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 68%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 10%32' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 69%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 10%33' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 69%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 9%34' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 69%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 9%35' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 69%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 9%36' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 69%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 9%37' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 69%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 9%38' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 69%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 9%39' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 69%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 9%41' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 70%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 8%42' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 70%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 8%43' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 70%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 8%44' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 70%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 8%45' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 70%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 8%45+1' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 70%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 8%HT · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 71%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 8%49' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 71%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 7%50' · 1–0 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 72%, draw 21%, Bate Borisov 7%51' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 32%, draw 42%, Bate Borisov 26%52' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 32%, draw 42%, Bate Borisov 25%53' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 32%, draw 43%, Bate Borisov 25%54' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 31%, draw 44%, Bate Borisov 25%55' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 31%, draw 44%, Bate Borisov 25%56' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 31%, draw 45%, Bate Borisov 25%58' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 30%, draw 46%, Bate Borisov 24%59' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 30%, draw 47%, Bate Borisov 24%60' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 29%, draw 47%, Bate Borisov 24%61' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 29%, draw 48%, Bate Borisov 23%62' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 28%, draw 49%, Bate Borisov 23%63' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 28%, draw 49%, Bate Borisov 23%64' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 28%, draw 50%, Bate Borisov 22%65' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 27%, draw 51%, Bate Borisov 22%66' · 1–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 27%, draw 52%, Bate Borisov 22%67' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 77%, draw 19%, Bate Borisov 4%68' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 77%, draw 19%, Bate Borisov 4%69' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 78%, draw 19%, Bate Borisov 4%70' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 78%, draw 18%, Bate Borisov 3%71' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 79%, draw 18%, Bate Borisov 3%72' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 79%, draw 18%, Bate Borisov 3%73' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 80%, draw 18%, Bate Borisov 3%74' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 80%, draw 17%, Bate Borisov 3%75' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 81%, draw 17%, Bate Borisov 3%76' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 81%, draw 17%, Bate Borisov 2%77' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 82%, draw 16%, Bate Borisov 2%78' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 82%, draw 16%, Bate Borisov 2%79' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 83%, draw 15%, Bate Borisov 2%80' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 84%, draw 15%, Bate Borisov 2%82' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 85%, draw 14%, Bate Borisov 1%83' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 86%, draw 13%, Bate Borisov 1%84' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 86%, draw 13%, Bate Borisov 1%85' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 87%, draw 12%, Bate Borisov 1%86' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 88%, draw 11%, Bate Borisov 1%87' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 89%, draw 11%, Bate Borisov 1%88' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 90%, draw 10%, Bate Borisov 1%89' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 91%, draw 9%, Bate Borisov 0%90' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 92%, draw 8%, Bate Borisov 0%90+1' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 93%, draw 7%, Bate Borisov 0%90+2' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 94%, draw 6%, Bate Borisov 0%90+4' · 2–1 · FC Dnepr Mogilev 96%, draw 3%, Bate Borisov 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 96% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.

We gave FC Dnepr Mogilev 40% to win: they did.

  1. 12'FC Dnepr Mogilev:Nikita krasnov 1119 +58 assist Nikita Tereshchuk 1352 +26*
  2. 39'Bate Borisov:Vladislav Varaksa 1454 −11
  3. 49'Bate Borisov:Vladislav Varaksa 1454 −11 assist erick puerto 1258 0
  4. 57'Bate Borisov:pavel dubovskiy 1194 0
  5. 66'FC Dnepr Mogilev:Kirill Zabelin 1382 +31 assist Nikita Tereshchuk 1352 +26*
  6. 66'FC Dnepr Mogilev:Egor Karpitskiy 1421 for Nikita Tereshchuk 1352 +26*
  7. 68'Bate Borisov:vladislav yatskevich 1307 for Egor Rusakov 1368 −11*
  8. 71'FC Dnepr Mogilev:Maksim Kasarab 1403 +29
  9. 74'FC Dnepr Mogilev:vadim harutyunyan 1367 +32
  10. 75'FC Dnepr Mogilev:Aleksey Dunaev 1178 for Nikita krasnov 1119 +58
  11. 79'Bate Borisov:ales sakhonchik 1254 for Ivan Mikhniuk 1333 0
  12. 79'Bate Borisov:Marat Titov 1172 for Nikolay Bochko 1289 −1
  13. 86'FC Dnepr Mogilev:Andrey Denisyuk 1384 for Dmitriy·Lisakovich 1628 +10
  14. 86'FC Dnepr Mogilev:R. Pilecki 1322 for Kirill Kirilenko 1337 +35

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

5-3-2Formations3-4-3
GS. Rusak1181+45
DA. Sinenko1463+24
DA. Varganov1340+35
DM. Kasarab1403+29
DA. Potapenko1401+21*
DK. Zabelin1382+31
MK. Kirilenko1337+35
MV. Harutyunyan1367+32
MD. Lisakovich1628+10
FN. Tereshchuk1352+26*
FN. Krasnov1119+58
CI. Kriushenko1384+31
GD. Sokol1420−16*
DP. Dubovskiy11940
DH. Moussakhanian1341−2
DI. Mikhnyuk13330
MN. Bochko1289−1
ME. Kress1365−3
ME. Rusakov1368−11*
MN. Neskoromny1406−6
FY. Kovalev1358−8
FE. Puerto12580
FV. Varaksa1454−11
CV. Rogozhkin12180
Before kick-off: 40% · 30% · 29%(FC Dnepr Mogilev · draw · Bate Borisov)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: FC Dnepr Mogilev €168K, Bate Borisov €182K.
  • Home advantage made FC Dnepr Mogilev the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

FC Dnepr Mogilev

16th in Premier League · 16 pts from 24

  • 11 OctLDinamo Minsk 1338
  • 20 SepLDinamo Brest 1334
  • 13 SepDML Vitebsk 1322
  • 6 SepLBaranovichi 1352
  • 30 AugDFC Isloch Minsk R. 1313

Bate Borisov

13th in Premier League · 21 pts from 24

  • 14 OctLNeman 1352
  • 10 OctWSlavia Mozyr 1335
  • 19 SepLDinamo Minsk 1332
  • 13 SepDNaftan 1333
  • 7 SepLDinamo Brest 1358

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
FC Dnepr Mogilev16 /2423.40%0%86%15th
Bate Borisov21 /2429.00%0%23%12th
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Bate Borisov

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Y. Kovalev
Y. Kovalev

Bate Borisov · -2.3 (Poor) · Elo 1366

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Igor Kriushenko

Coach DNA: –

Vitaliy Rogozhkin

Coach DNA: –

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.