Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29
FC Dallas 1–0 Seattle Sounders
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Toyota Stadium(Texas), Frisco
FC DallasTeam 1942
Seattle SoundersTeam 1938Match story
FC Dallas · draw · Seattle SoundersBefore kick-off: 46% · 27% · 27%
Last reading, 90+9': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave FC Dallas 46% to win: they did.
- 58'Jordan Morris 1964 −5 for Nouhou Tolo 1998 −5
Seattle Sounders:Jordan Morris 1964 −5 for Nouhou Tolo 1998 −5 - 59'Alexander Roldan 2043 −5 for Kalani Kossa-Rienzi 1972 −3
Seattle Sounders:Alexander Roldan 2043 −5 for Kalani Kossa-Rienzi 1972 −3 - Kaick da Silva Ferreira 2041 +22 assist Osaze Urhoghide 1999 +2663'
FC Dallas:Kaick da Silva Ferreira 2041 +22 assist Osaze Urhoghide 1999 +26 - 66'Jesús Ferreira 1978 −1 for Sebastian Gomez 1712 0
Seattle Sounders:Jesús Ferreira 1978 −1 for Sebastian Gomez 1712 0 - Patrickson Delgado 1852 +3 for Santiago Moreno 2018 +2074'
FC Dallas:Patrickson Delgado 1852 +3 for Santiago Moreno 2018 +20 - Christian Cappis 1905 +2 for Joaquín Valiente Cioli 2029 +1974'
FC Dallas:Christian Cappis 1905 +2 for Joaquín Valiente Cioli 2029 +19 - Patrickson Delgado 1852 +381'
FC Dallas:Patrickson Delgado 1852 +3 - Herman Johansson 1977 0 for Bernard Kamungo 1985 +982'
FC Dallas:Herman Johansson 1977 0 for Bernard Kamungo 1985 +9 - 83'Peter Kingston 1765 0 for Snyder Brunell 1911 −1
Seattle Sounders:Peter Kingston 1765 0 for Snyder Brunell 1911 −1 - 83'Caden Clark 1759 0 for stuar hawkins 1608 0
Seattle Sounders:Caden Clark 1759 0 for stuar hawkins 1608 0 - Daniel 2080 +1790+8'
FC Dallas:Daniel 2080 +17
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 46% · 27% · 27%(FC Dallas · draw · Seattle Sounders)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: FC Dallas €1.8M, Seattle Sounders €2.2M.
- FC Dallas were without 1 expected starter: L. Farrington (1958).
- Seattle Sounders were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Dallas
3rd in MLS · 47 pts from 28
- 10 OctLCharlotte MLS1956
- 27 SepWLos Angeles FC MLS1962
- 20 SepDAustin MLS1947
- 13 SepWPortland Timbers MLS1931
- 10 SepWMinnesota United FC MLS1901
Seattle Sounders
7th in MLS · 41 pts from 28
- 10 OctWNew England Revolution MLS1927
- 2 OctWSporting Kansas City MLS1907
- 27 SepWMinnesota United FC MLS1889
- 24 SepWReal Salt Lake MLS1899
- 20 SepDColorado Rapids MLS1867
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 47 /28 | 56.4 | 0% | 24% | 0% | 5th |
| Seattle Sounders | 41 /28 | 49.4 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

FC Dallas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2019

Seattle Sounders · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2054
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Dallas: balanced profile (how Eric Quill plays) · Seattle Sounders: balanced profile (how Brian Thomas Schmetzer plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.