Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 31
FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Toyota Stadium, Frisco
FC Dallas host San Jose Earthquakes on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Dallas 45%, draw 28%, San Jose Earthquakes 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Dallas €1.7M, San Jose Earthquakes €2.5M.
- San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Dallas goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: FC Dallas 1954 · San Jose Earthquakes 1947
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Dallas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2041
San Jose Earthquakes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2103
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Dallas
3rd in MLS · 51 pts from 30
- 18 OctDHouston Dynamo MLS1886
- 15 OctWSeattle Sounders MLS1947
- 10 OctLCharlotte MLS1956
- 27 SepWLos Angeles FC MLS1962
- 20 SepDAustin MLS1947
San Jose Earthquakes
4th in MLS · 48 pts from 30
- 18 OctDNashville SC MLS2010
- 15 OctDReal Salt Lake MLS1904
- 11 OctDColorado Rapids MLS1943
- 27 SepWPortland Timbers MLS1924
- 19 SepDLos Angeles FC MLS2029
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 51 /30 | 57.5 | 0% | 34% | 0% | 4th |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 48 /30 | 54.1 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Dallas: balanced profile (how Eric Quill plays) · San Jose Earthquakes: balanced profile (how Bruce Arena plays)