Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32
FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Toyota Stadium, Frisco
FC Dallas host Columbus Crew on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Dallas 43%, draw 28%, Columbus Crew 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Dallas €1.7M, Columbus Crew €3.3M.
- Home advantage makes FC Dallas the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Dallas goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FC Dallas 1954 · Columbus Crew 1974
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Dallas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2041
Columbus Crew · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2033
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Dallas
3rd in MLS · 51 pts from 30
- 18 OctDHouston Dynamo MLS1886
- 15 OctWSeattle Sounders MLS1947
- 10 OctLCharlotte MLS1956
- 27 SepWLos Angeles FC MLS1962
- 20 SepDAustin MLS1947
Columbus Crew
13th in MLS · 32 pts from 29
- 18 OctWFC Cincinnati MLS1953
- 14 OctWCharlotte MLS1957
- 10 OctLOrlando City SC MLS1975
- 27 SepWInter Miami MLS1947
- 19 SepWCF Montreal MLS1938
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 51 /30 | 57.5 | 0% | 34% | 0% | 4th |
| Columbus Crew | 32 /29 | 38.2 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 27th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Dallas: balanced profile (how Eric Quill plays) · Columbus Crew: possession-based (how Laurent Courtois plays)