Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 34
FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Toyota Stadium, Frisco
FC Dallas host Colorado Rapids on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Dallas 51%, draw 27%, Colorado Rapids 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Dallas €1.6M, Colorado Rapids €2.2M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Dallas goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FC Dallas 1955 · Colorado Rapids 1885
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

FC Dallas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2041

Colorado Rapids · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1985
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Dallas
3rd in MLS · 51 pts from 30
- 18 OctDHouston Dynamo MLS1886
- 15 OctWSeattle Sounders MLS1947
- 10 OctLCharlotte MLS1956
- 27 SepWLos Angeles FC MLS1962
- 20 SepDAustin MLS1947
Colorado Rapids
9th in MLS · 39 pts from 30
- 18 OctDPortland Timbers MLS1877
- 15 OctDMinnesota United FC MLS1880
- 11 OctDSan Jose Earthquakes MLS1895
- 27 SepLLos Angeles Galaxy MLS1885
- 20 SepDSeattle Sounders MLS1899
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 51 /30 | 57.5 | 0% | 34% | 0% | 4th |
| Colorado Rapids | 39 /30 | 43.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Dallas: balanced profile (how Eric Quill plays) · Colorado Rapids: balanced profile (how Matt Wells plays)