Superliga · Regular Season - 11
FC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
FC CopenhagenTeam 1973
AarhusTeam 1774Match story
FC Copenhagen · draw · AarhusBefore kick-off: 58% · 23% · 19%
Last reading, 90+5': 3% · 94% · 2%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Robert Silva 35'
- Janni Serra 63'
We gave FC Copenhagen 58% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Robert Silva 1999 −7 assist Marcos López 2004 −335'
FC Copenhagen:Robert Silva 1999 −7 assist Marcos López 2004 −3 - 45'Jacob Andersen 1577 +6 for Rasmus Carstensen 1900 +2
Aarhus:Jacob Andersen 1577 +6 for Rasmus Carstensen 1900 +2 - 63'Janni Serra 1667 +22 assist Frederik Emmery 1751 +23
Aarhus:Janni Serra 1667 +22 assist Frederik Emmery 1751 +23 - Thomas Delaney 1762 −7 for William Clem 2036 −365'
FC Copenhagen:Thomas Delaney 1762 −7 for William Clem 2036 −3 - 67'Eric Kahl 1864 +1 for Daniel Leo Gretarsson 1723 +4
Aarhus:Eric Kahl 1864 +1 for Daniel Leo Gretarsson 1723 +4 - 74'James Bogere 1346 +3 for Janni Serra 1667 +22
Aarhus:James Bogere 1346 +3 for Janni Serra 1667 +22 - 75'Markus Solbakken 1822 +1 for Callum McCowatt 1628 +9
Aarhus:Markus Solbakken 1822 +1 for Callum McCowatt 1628 +9 - Geovanni Vianney Ndjee 1660 0 for Viktor Dadason 1626 075'
FC Copenhagen:Geovanni Vianney Ndjee 1660 0 for Viktor Dadason 1626 0 - Alex Král 1950 −375'
FC Copenhagen:Alex Král 1950 −3 - Thapelo Maseko 1702 0 for Mohamed Elyounoussi 1991 −684'
FC Copenhagen:Thapelo Maseko 1702 0 for Mohamed Elyounoussi 1991 −6 - Mads Emil Madsen 1964 −9* for Robert Silva 1999 −784'
FC Copenhagen:Mads Emil Madsen 1964 −9* for Robert Silva 1999 −7 - Birger Meling 1914 −3 for Marcos López 2004 −384'
FC Copenhagen:Birger Meling 1914 −3 for Marcos López 2004 −3 - 90+1'Tobias Mölgaard 1680 +8
Aarhus:Tobias Mölgaard 1680 +8
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 58% · 23% · 19%(FC Copenhagen · draw · Aarhus)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: FC Copenhagen €2.7M, Aarhus €1.3M.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Superliga): FC Copenhagen ranked #2 of 11, Aarhus #9.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Copenhagen
1st in Superliga · 24 pts from 10
- 15 OctWSC Braga UEFA Conference League1894
- 11 OctLFC Midtjylland Denmark Superliga1964
- 20 SepWBrondby Denmark Superliga1942
- 11 SepWAC Horsens Denmark Superliga1882
- 6 SepWOdense Denmark Superliga1835
Aarhus
10th in Superliga · 8 pts from 10
- 15 OctLGent UEFA Conference League1687
- 12 OctWSonderjyske Denmark Superliga1767
- 20 SepDAC Horsens Denmark Superliga1753
- 13 SepLFC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superliga1739
- 5 SepDSilkeborg Denmark Superliga1746
Season outlook
From the Superliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen | 24 /10 | 46.4 | 58% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Aarhus | 8 /10 | 25.0 | 0% | 3% | 23% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

FC Copenhagen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1997

Aarhus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1874
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Copenhagen: balanced profile (how Bo Svensson plays) · Aarhus: balanced profile (how Jakob Bendix Uhd Poulsen plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.