Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29
FC Cincinnati 2–3 New England Revolution
Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
FC CincinnatiTeam 1932
New England RevolutionTeam 1928Match story
FC Cincinnati · draw · New England RevolutionBefore kick-off: 47% · 25% · 28%
Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Tom Barlow 13'
- Kevin Denkey 67'
- Dor Turgeman 21', 51'
- Joshua Wynder 43'
We gave FC Cincinnati 47% to win: New England Revolution won.
- 4'Ilay Feingold 1995 +13
New England Revolution:Ilay Feingold 1995 +13 - Tom Barlow 1866 −3 assist Tyrell Malacia 2180 −2813'
FC Cincinnati:Tom Barlow 1866 −3 assist Tyrell Malacia 2180 −28 - 21'Dor Turgeman 2113 +26 assist Peyton Miller 2080 +32
New England Revolution:Dor Turgeman 2113 +26 assist Peyton Miller 2080 +32 - Tyrell Malacia 2180 −2831'
FC Cincinnati:Tyrell Malacia 2180 −28 - 43'Joshua Wynder 1822 +78 assist Carles Gil 2037 +32
New England Revolution:Joshua Wynder 1822 +78 assist Carles Gil 2037 +32 - Tom Barlow 1866 −344'
FC Cincinnati:Tom Barlow 1866 −3 - Pavel Bucha 2054 −3 for Obinna Nwobodo 1934 −245'
FC Cincinnati:Pavel Bucha 2054 −3 for Obinna Nwobodo 1934 −2 - Kenji Mboma Dem 1873 −8* for Tom Barlow 1866 −345'
FC Cincinnati:Kenji Mboma Dem 1873 −8* for Tom Barlow 1866 −3 - Samuel Mawuena Gidi 1963 0 for Julian Malatini 1882 045'
FC Cincinnati:Samuel Mawuena Gidi 1963 0 for Julian Malatini 1882 0 - 51'Dor Turgeman 2113 +26 assist Peyton Miller 2080 +32
New England Revolution:Dor Turgeman 2113 +26 assist Peyton Miller 2080 +32 - Kevin Denkey 2048 −8 assist Tyrell Malacia 2180 −2867'
FC Cincinnati:Kevin Denkey 2048 −8 assist Tyrell Malacia 2180 −28 - Evander 1961 −9* for Tyrell Malacia 2180 −2868'
FC Cincinnati:Evander 1961 −9* for Tyrell Malacia 2180 −28 - 69'Luca Daniel·Langoni 1967 +7 for Dániel Gazdag 1980 +10
New England Revolution:Luca Daniel·Langoni 1967 +7 for Dániel Gazdag 1980 +10 - 74'Jackson Yueill 1740 +4 for Ilay Feingold 1995 +13
New England Revolution:Jackson Yueill 1740 +4 for Ilay Feingold 1995 +13 - Ayoub Jabbari 1574 −8* for Kyle Smith 1811 −681'
FC Cincinnati:Ayoub Jabbari 1574 −8* for Kyle Smith 1811 −6 - 83'M. Mitrovic
New England Revolution:M. Mitrovic - Evander 1961 −9*84'
FC Cincinnati:Evander 1961 −9* - 89'Tanner·Beason 1810 −9* for Peyton Miller 2080 +32
New England Revolution:Tanner·Beason 1810 −9* for Peyton Miller 2080 +32 - 89'Cody Baker 1693 −7* for Dor Turgeman 2113 +26
New England Revolution:Cody Baker 1693 −7* for Dor Turgeman 2113 +26
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 47% · 25% · 28%(FC Cincinnati · draw · New England Revolution)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–3 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: FC Cincinnati €2.0M, New England Revolution €2.2M.
- FC Cincinnati were without 1 expected starter: M. Robinson (1975).
- New England Revolution were without 1 expected starter: M. Fofana (2112).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Cincinnati
9th in MLS · 36 pts from 27
- 10 OctWAtlanta United FC MLS1920
- 26 SepLCF Montreal MLS1880
- 20 SepDHouston Dynamo MLS1934
- 12 SepDCharlotte MLS1907
- 9 SepLPhiladelphia Union MLS1914
New England Revolution
4th in MLS · 46 pts from 28
- 10 OctLSeattle Sounders MLS1953
- 27 SepLReal Salt Lake MLS1892
- 19 SepWOrlando City SC MLS1997
- 13 SepWChicago Fire MLS1933
- 10 SepWNew York City FC MLS1958
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati | 36 /27 | 45.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15th |
| New England Revolution | 46 /28 | 53.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

FC Cincinnati · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2056

New England Revolution · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2005
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Cincinnati: dribble-heavy (how Patrick John Noonan plays) · New England Revolution: balanced profile (how Marko Mićović plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.