Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 34
FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati host Nashville SC on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Cincinnati 37%, draw 29%, Nashville SC 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Cincinnati €2.6M, Nashville SC €2.7M.
- Home advantage makes FC Cincinnati the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- Nashville SC's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.9 over 180 days.
- Nashville SC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Cincinnati goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FC Cincinnati 1935 · Nashville SC 2031
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Cincinnati · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1990
Nashville SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +8.1 (Elite) · Elo 2078
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Cincinnati
8th in MLS · 39 pts from 30
- 21 OctWDC United MLS1947
- 18 OctLColumbus Crew MLS1977
- 14 OctLNew England Revolution MLS1935
- 10 OctWAtlanta United FC MLS1920
- 26 SepLCF Montreal MLS1880
Nashville SC
1st in MLS · 67 pts from 30
- 18 OctDSan Jose Earthquakes MLS1994
- 15 OctWSporting Kansas City MLS2045
- 11 OctWAustin MLS2026
- 27 SepWToronto FC MLS1996
- 20 SepWChicago Fire MLS1994
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati | 39 /30 | 43.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15th |
| Nashville SC | 67 /30 | 73.6 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Cincinnati: dribble-heavy (how P. Noonan plays) · Nashville SC: balanced profile (how B. Callaghan plays)