Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30
FC Cincinnati 0–2 Columbus Crew
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
FC CincinnatiTeam 1954
Columbus CrewTeam 1947Match story
FC Cincinnati · draw · Columbus CrewBefore kick-off: 49% · 22% · 29%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Gonzalo Tapia 22'
- Taha Habroune 54'
We gave FC Cincinnati 49% to win: Columbus Crew won.
- Nick Hagglund 1770 −13* for Julian Malatini 1882 018'
FC Cincinnati:Nick Hagglund 1770 −13* for Julian Malatini 1882 0 - 22'Gonzalo Tapia 1919 +55 assist Brais Méndez 2040 +15
Columbus Crew:Gonzalo Tapia 1919 +55 assist Brais Méndez 2040 +15 - Samuel Mawuena Gidi 1963 028'
FC Cincinnati:Samuel Mawuena Gidi 1963 0 - Teenage Hadebe 1920 −331'
FC Cincinnati:Teenage Hadebe 1920 −3 - 45'Sekou Tidiany Bangoura 1682 +56 for Brais Méndez 2040 +15
Columbus Crew:Sekou Tidiany Bangoura 1682 +56 for Brais Méndez 2040 +15 - 45+7'André Gomes 1934 +15
Columbus Crew:André Gomes 1934 +15 - 54'Taha Habroune 2019 +29 assist Gonzalo Tapia 1919 +55
Columbus Crew:Taha Habroune 2019 +29 assist Gonzalo Tapia 1919 +55 - Ender Jesús Echenique Peña 1918 0 for David Douděra 1964 −159'
FC Cincinnati:Ender Jesús Echenique Peña 1918 0 for David Douděra 1964 −1 - Kenji Mboma Dem 1873 0 for Tom Barlow 1863 −359'
FC Cincinnati:Kenji Mboma Dem 1873 0 for Tom Barlow 1863 −3 - 65'Jamal Thiare 1701 +5 for Santiago Rodriguez 2033 +9
Columbus Crew:Jamal Thiare 1701 +5 for Santiago Rodriguez 2033 +9 - 66'Dylan Chambost 1971 +3 for Taha Habroune 2019 +29
Columbus Crew:Dylan Chambost 1971 +3 for Taha Habroune 2019 +29 - 66'Eric Bailly 1913 +11 for Steven Moreira 2010 +26
Columbus Crew:Eric Bailly 1913 +11 for Steven Moreira 2010 +26 - 79'Lautaro Giaccone 1751 −4* for Gonzalo Tapia 1919 +55
Columbus Crew:Lautaro Giaccone 1751 −4* for Gonzalo Tapia 1919 +55 - Gerardo Valenzuela 1937 0 for Nick Hagglund 1770 −13*79'
FC Cincinnati:Gerardo Valenzuela 1937 0 for Nick Hagglund 1770 −13* - Ayoub Jabbari 1574 0 for Pavel Bucha 2047 −779'
FC Cincinnati:Ayoub Jabbari 1574 0 for Pavel Bucha 2047 −7 - 90+3'Dylan Chambost 1971 +3
Columbus Crew:Dylan Chambost 1971 +3
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 49% · 22% · 29%(FC Cincinnati · draw · Columbus Crew)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (8%); the result 0–2 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: FC Cincinnati €2.8M, Columbus Crew €2.6M.
- FC Cincinnati were without 1 expected starter: M. Robinson (1975).
- Home advantage made FC Cincinnati the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Cincinnati
9th in MLS · 36 pts from 28
- 14 OctLNew England Revolution MLS1935
- 10 OctWAtlanta United FC MLS1920
- 26 SepLCF Montreal MLS1880
- 20 SepDHouston Dynamo MLS1934
- 12 SepDCharlotte MLS1907
Columbus Crew
13th in MLS · 32 pts from 29
- 14 OctWCharlotte MLS1957
- 10 OctLOrlando City SC MLS1975
- 27 SepWInter Miami MLS1947
- 19 SepWCF Montreal MLS1938
- 12 SepLNew York Red Bulls MLS1899
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati | 36 /28 | 44.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 15th |
| Columbus Crew | 32 /29 | 39.1 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

FC Cincinnati · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1961

Columbus Crew · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1919
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Cincinnati: dribble-heavy (how Patrick John Noonan plays) · Columbus Crew: possession-based (how Laurent Courtois plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.